Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP-DB at 73.5% implied probability for third place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent recent polling showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at around 31-32% and GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, leaving PP-DB polling 11-12% ahead of DPS at 10-11%. The CAM poll from April 3-14 underscores this, projecting PP-DB 33 seats to DPS's 31 under proportional representation, with no major shifts in the final week amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. DPS's ethnic Turkish base provides stability but trails slightly, while Vazrazhdane's 7% nationalist support lags further; late turnout or vote-buying concerns could narrow the PP-DB/DPS gap for third.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni parlamentari in Bulgaria: 3° posto
Elezioni parlamentari in Bulgaria: 3° posto
PP–DB 74%
DPS 19%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 1.1%
$79,804 Vol.
$79,804 Vol.
19 apr 2026
PP–DB
74%
DPS
19%
Vazrazhdane
4%
GERB-SDS
1%
MECh
<1%
BSP
<1%
ITN
<1%
PB
<1%
APS
<1%
Velichie
<1%
PP–DB 74%
DPS 19%
Vazrazhdane 3.8%
GERB-SDS 1.1%
$79,804 Vol.
$79,804 Vol.
19 apr 2026
PP–DB
$23,668 Vol.
74%
DPS
$12,668 Vol.
19%
Vazrazhdane
$3,057 Vol.
4%
GERB-SDS
$9,600 Vol.
1%
MECh
$3,243 Vol.
<1%
BSP
$20,073 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$2,065 Vol.
<1%
PB
$1,575 Vol.
<1%
APS
$2,076 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP-DB at 73.5% implied probability for third place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent recent polling showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at around 31-32% and GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, leaving PP-DB polling 11-12% ahead of DPS at 10-11%. The CAM poll from April 3-14 underscores this, projecting PP-DB 33 seats to DPS's 31 under proportional representation, with no major shifts in the final week amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. DPS's ethnic Turkish base provides stability but trails slightly, while Vazrazhdane's 7% nationalist support lags further; late turnout or vote-buying concerns could narrow the PP-DB/DPS gap for third.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Volume
$79,804Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP-DB at 73.5% implied probability for third place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent recent polling showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at around 31-32% and GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, leaving PP-DB polling 11-12% ahead of DPS at 10-11%. The CAM poll from April 3-14 underscores this, projecting PP-DB 33 seats to DPS's 31 under proportional representation, with no major shifts in the final week amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. DPS's ethnic Turkish base provides stability but trails slightly, while Vazrazhdane's 7% nationalist support lags further; late turnout or vote-buying concerns could narrow the PP-DB/DPS gap for third.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$79,804Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors PP-DB at 73.5% implied probability for third place in Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, driven by consistent recent polling showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at around 31-32% and GERB-SDS second at 19-21%, leaving PP-DB polling 11-12% ahead of DPS at 10-11%. The CAM poll from April 3-14 underscores this, projecting PP-DB 33 seats to DPS's 31 under proportional representation, with no major shifts in the final week amid voter fatigue from eight elections since 2021. DPS's ethnic Turkish base provides stability but trails slightly, while Vazrazhdane's 7% nationalist support lags further; late turnout or vote-buying concerns could narrow the PP-DB/DPS gap for third.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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