With snap parliamentary elections looming on April 19 under Bulgaria's proportional representation system—requiring a 4% national threshold for parties or coalitions to secure seats in the 240-member National Assembly—traders are pricing outcomes based on polls showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 32%, GERB-SDS at 19%, and We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria (PP-DB) at 12% as of April 15. This fragmented field, likely sending five formations to parliament amid voter fatigue from eight votes since 2021, stems from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over corruption protests and budget delays. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's recent crackdown on vote-buying aims for cleaner polls, though low turnout risks upsets; post-election coalition talks will shape government formation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$92,685 Vol.
19 apr 2026
BSP
66%
MECh
15%
Velichie
9%
ITN
2%
APS
2%
$92,685 Vol.
BSP
$24,956 Vol.
66%
MECh
$6,361 Vol.
15%
Velichie
$37,146 Vol.
9%
ITN
$11,456 Vol.
2%
APS
$12,767 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).With snap parliamentary elections looming on April 19 under Bulgaria's proportional representation system—requiring a 4% national threshold for parties or coalitions to secure seats in the 240-member National Assembly—traders are pricing outcomes based on polls showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 32%, GERB-SDS at 19%, and We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria (PP-DB) at 12% as of April 15. This fragmented field, likely sending five formations to parliament amid voter fatigue from eight votes since 2021, stems from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over corruption protests and budget delays. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's recent crackdown on vote-buying aims for cleaner polls, though low turnout risks upsets; post-election coalition talks will shape government formation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volume
$92,685Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).With snap parliamentary elections looming on April 19 under Bulgaria's proportional representation system—requiring a 4% national threshold for parties or coalitions to secure seats in the 240-member National Assembly—traders are pricing outcomes based on polls showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 32%, GERB-SDS at 19%, and We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria (PP-DB) at 12% as of April 15. This fragmented field, likely sending five formations to parliament amid voter fatigue from eight votes since 2021, stems from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over corruption protests and budget delays. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's recent crackdown on vote-buying aims for cleaner polls, though low turnout risks upsets; post-election coalition talks will shape government formation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$92,685Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With snap parliamentary elections looming on April 19 under Bulgaria's proportional representation system—requiring a 4% national threshold for parties or coalitions to secure seats in the 240-member National Assembly—traders are pricing outcomes based on polls showing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leading at 32%, GERB-SDS at 19%, and We Continue the Change–Democratic Bulgaria (PP-DB) at 12% as of April 15. This fragmented field, likely sending five formations to parliament amid voter fatigue from eight votes since 2021, stems from the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 collapse over corruption protests and budget delays. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov's recent crackdown on vote-buying aims for cleaner polls, though low turnout risks upsets; post-election coalition talks will shape government formation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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