Bulgaria's snap parliamentary elections on April 19 mark the eighth vote in five years amid chronic instability, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations. Former President Rumen Radev's newly formed Progressive Bulgaria leads recent polls at around 30-31%, followed by GERB-SDS at 20-21%, PP-DB at 11-12%, DPS at 10-11%, and Revival at 7%, with BSP borderline at 4%. Intensified police crackdowns on vote-buying have seized over €1 million since March, alongside protests demanding fair elections, heightening risks of low turnout and volatility near the 4% entry threshold. Post-election coalition negotiations will be crucial given fragmentation, as no bloc nears a 121-seat majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$92,685 Vol.

BSP
66%

MECh
15%

Velichie
9%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
$92,685 Vol.

BSP
66%

MECh
15%

Velichie
9%

ITN
2%

APS
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Bulgaria's snap parliamentary elections on April 19 mark the eighth vote in five years amid chronic instability, triggered by the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation over budget protests and corruption allegations. Former President Rumen Radev's newly formed Progressive Bulgaria leads recent polls at around 30-31%, followed by GERB-SDS at 20-21%, PP-DB at 11-12%, DPS at 10-11%, and Revival at 7%, with BSP borderline at 4%. Intensified police crackdowns on vote-buying have seized over €1 million since March, alongside protests demanding fair elections, heightening risks of low turnout and volatility near the 4% entry threshold. Post-election coalition negotiations will be crucial given fragmentation, as no bloc nears a 121-seat majority.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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