Shin Yong-han's 93.5% implied probability in the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election stems from the Democratic Party of Korea's swift confirmation of him as candidate on April 4 following a primary runoff victory over Noh Young-min, contrasting sharply with the People Power Party's nomination chaos—including a court injunction halting proceedings on April 1, primary restarts on April 2, and former police chief Yoon Hee-geun re-entering the race on April 5. Pre-nomination polls showed fragmented support, but trader consensus now prices DPK unity and PPP disarray as decisive edges in this battleground province. Upsets could arise from a late PPP powerhouse nominee, Shin scandals, or national turnout shifts favoring incumbency patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Chungcheongbuk
Vincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 94%
Cho Gil-hyeong 2.5%
Noh Yeong-min 1.9%
Song Ki-sub 1.8%
$23,108 Vol.
$23,108 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
94%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Noh Yeong-min
2%
Song Ki-sub
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
1%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Lee Jong-bae
1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
Shin Yong-han 94%
Cho Gil-hyeong 2.5%
Noh Yeong-min 1.9%
Song Ki-sub 1.8%
$23,108 Vol.
$23,108 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
94%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Noh Yeong-min
2%
Song Ki-sub
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
1%
Kim Young-hwan
1%
Lee Jong-bae
1%
Do Jong-hwan
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Shin Yong-han's 93.5% implied probability in the June 3, 2026, Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election stems from the Democratic Party of Korea's swift confirmation of him as candidate on April 4 following a primary runoff victory over Noh Young-min, contrasting sharply with the People Power Party's nomination chaos—including a court injunction halting proceedings on April 1, primary restarts on April 2, and former police chief Yoon Hee-geun re-entering the race on April 5. Pre-nomination polls showed fragmented support, but trader consensus now prices DPK unity and PPP disarray as decisive edges in this battleground province. Upsets could arise from a late PPP powerhouse nominee, Shin scandals, or national turnout shifts favoring incumbency patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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