Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper's strong incumbency advantage, 92% name identification among likely Democratic primary voters, and dominant fundraising—nearly $1.4 million raised in Q1 2026—position him as the clear trader favorite at 85.5% implied probability for Colorado's June 30 Democratic Senate primary. State Sen. Julie Gonzales holds 13.3% consensus after securing the top ballot line with 74% of delegate votes at the March 29 state assembly, bypassing Hickenlooper who qualified via 14,900 validated petition signatures on March 26. A February Data for Progress poll showed Hickenlooper leading 45%-13% unaided but tightening after candidate bios and arguments, though traders remain skeptical of the scripted scenario commissioned by a pro-Gonzales group. Minor candidates trail with negligible support amid Hickenlooper's establishment backing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJohn Hickenlooper 86%
Julie Gonzales 13.3%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Michael Scanlon <1%
$23,704 Vol.
$23,704 Vol.
John Hickenlooper
86%
Julie Gonzales
13%
Anthony Zimpfer
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
John Hickenlooper 86%
Julie Gonzales 13.3%
Anthony Zimpfer <1%
Michael Scanlon <1%
$23,704 Vol.
$23,704 Vol.
John Hickenlooper
86%
Julie Gonzales
13%
Anthony Zimpfer
<1%
Michael Scanlon
<1%
Brashad Hasley
<1%
Karen Breslin
<1%
Nichole Miner
<1%
If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Sen. John Hickenlooper's strong incumbency advantage, 92% name identification among likely Democratic primary voters, and dominant fundraising—nearly $1.4 million raised in Q1 2026—position him as the clear trader favorite at 85.5% implied probability for Colorado's June 30 Democratic Senate primary. State Sen. Julie Gonzales holds 13.3% consensus after securing the top ballot line with 74% of delegate votes at the March 29 state assembly, bypassing Hickenlooper who qualified via 14,900 validated petition signatures on March 26. A February Data for Progress poll showed Hickenlooper leading 45%-13% unaided but tightening after candidate bios and arguments, though traders remain skeptical of the scripted scenario commissioned by a pro-Gonzales group. Minor candidates trail with negligible support amid Hickenlooper's establishment backing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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