Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its razor-thin polling leads over AKEL despite a fragmented field and 25% undecided voters. Recent surveys, including Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6: DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Politis/Noverna (same period: DISY 16.5%, AKEL 15.8% overall, 22.3%-21.3% declared), underscore the deadlock, with ELAM and new entrant ALMA challenging for third amid anti-establishment sentiment. DISY's edge stems from higher voter loyalty (57-80% certainty), potential undecided consolidation, and proportional representation dynamics where micro-leads yield seat pluralities, as in poll-of-polls projections tying both at 15 seats. Over 10,000 new voters registered recently heightens uncertainty ahead of candidacy deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
Cyprus House of Representatives Election Winner
DISY 65%
AKEL 29%
EDEK 3.1%
ELAM 2.7%
$11,120 Vol.
$11,120 Vol.
24 mag 2026
DISY
65%
AKEL
29%
EDEK
3%
ELAM
3%
DNM (DEK)
3%
VOLT
1%
KOSP
1%
DIKO
1%
DIPA
1%
DISY 65%
AKEL 29%
EDEK 3.1%
ELAM 2.7%
$11,120 Vol.
$11,120 Vol.
24 mag 2026
DISY
$3,036 Vol.
65%
AKEL
$1,405 Vol.
29%
EDEK
$936 Vol.
3%
ELAM
$885 Vol.
3%
DNM (DEK)
$978 Vol.
3%
VOLT
$1,060 Vol.
1%
KOSP
$893 Vol.
1%
DIKO
$1,006 Vol.
1%
DIPA
$922 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its razor-thin polling leads over AKEL despite a fragmented field and 25% undecided voters. Recent surveys, including Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6: DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Politis/Noverna (same period: DISY 16.5%, AKEL 15.8% overall, 22.3%-21.3% declared), underscore the deadlock, with ELAM and new entrant ALMA challenging for third amid anti-establishment sentiment. DISY's edge stems from higher voter loyalty (57-80% certainty), potential undecided consolidation, and proportional representation dynamics where micro-leads yield seat pluralities, as in poll-of-polls projections tying both at 15 seats. Over 10,000 new voters registered recently heightens uncertainty ahead of candidacy deadlines.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Mercato aperto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Volume
$11,120Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its razor-thin polling leads over AKEL despite a fragmented field and 25% undecided voters. Recent surveys, including Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6: DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Politis/Noverna (same period: DISY 16.5%, AKEL 15.8% overall, 22.3%-21.3% declared), underscore the deadlock, with ELAM and new entrant ALMA challenging for third amid anti-establishment sentiment. DISY's edge stems from higher voter loyalty (57-80% certainty), potential undecided consolidation, and proportional representation dynamics where micro-leads yield seat pluralities, as in poll-of-polls projections tying both at 15 seats. Over 10,000 new voters registered recently heightens uncertainty ahead of candidacy deadlines.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Volume
$11,120Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors DISY at 64.5% implied probability to secure the most seats in Cyprus's House of Representatives election on May 24, reflecting its razor-thin polling leads over AKEL despite a fragmented field and 25% undecided voters. Recent surveys, including Phileleftheros (March 30-April 6: DISY 17.6%, AKEL 17.1%) and Politis/Noverna (same period: DISY 16.5%, AKEL 15.8% overall, 22.3%-21.3% declared), underscore the deadlock, with ELAM and new entrant ALMA challenging for third amid anti-establishment sentiment. DISY's edge stems from higher voter loyalty (57-80% certainty), potential undecided consolidation, and proportional representation dynamics where micro-leads yield seat pluralities, as in poll-of-polls projections tying both at 15 seats. Over 10,000 new voters registered recently heightens uncertainty ahead of candidacy deadlines.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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