Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party challenger Woo Sang-ho at 88% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gangwon Special Self-Governing Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae. A Pressian survey released April 15 showed Woo at 51.4% versus Kim's 38.8%—outside the margin of error—while ten major polls this year, including MBC's 45.4%-31.4% and Gangwon Ilbo's 51.2%-37.3%, all place Woo ahead by 10-23 points. Kim's April 14 re-election announcement and strong job approval have not reversed the trend amid Democratic Party momentum to retake conservative-leaning Gangwon, last won by PPP in 2022. Candidate registration begins April 22; undecided voters and turnout could influence the single-round plurality outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Gangwon
Vincitore delle elezioni per il governatore della provincia di Gangwon
Woo Sang-ho 88%
Kim Jin-tae 12%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$349,102 Vol.
$349,102 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
12%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
88%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
Woo Sang-ho 88%
Kim Jin-tae 12%
Lee Kwang-jae <1%
Kim Wan-seop <1%
$349,102 Vol.
$349,102 Vol.
Kim Jin-tae
12%
Kim Wan-seop
<1%
Lee Chul-gyu
<1%
Kweon Seong-dong
<1%
Woo Sang-ho
88%
Kim Do-kyun
<1%
Lee Kwang-jae
<1%
Song Gi-heon
<1%
Won Chang-muk
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party challenger Woo Sang-ho at 88% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Gangwon Special Self-Governing Province gubernatorial election, driven by consistent polling leads over incumbent People Power Party Governor Kim Jin-tae. A Pressian survey released April 15 showed Woo at 51.4% versus Kim's 38.8%—outside the margin of error—while ten major polls this year, including MBC's 45.4%-31.4% and Gangwon Ilbo's 51.2%-37.3%, all place Woo ahead by 10-23 points. Kim's April 14 re-election announcement and strong job approval have not reversed the trend amid Democratic Party momentum to retake conservative-leaning Gangwon, last won by PPP in 2022. Candidate registration begins April 22; undecided voters and turnout could influence the single-round plurality outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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