Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 63% implied probability for the May 19 Democratic primary winner, driven by consistent polling dominance—including a recent Emerson College survey showing her far ahead—and high name recognition among urban voters crucial for primary turnout. State Sen. Jason Esteves has surged to 21% following union endorsements like Teamsters Local 528 and Latino Victory Fund, plus momentum from recent debates critiquing rivals on abortion and costs. Former Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan, who switched from Republican in 2025, lingers at 14% appealing to moderates but faces attacks over past abortion ban support in a sharp exchange just yesterday. High undecideds near 30% in March 31 20/20 Insights polling signal volatility ahead of early voting next week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKeisha Lance Bottoms 63%
Jason Esteves 21%
Geoff Duncan 13.7%
Derrick Jackson <1%
$155,387 Vol.
$155,387 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
63%
Jason Esteves
21%
Geoff Duncan
14%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Mike Thurmond
<1%
Keisha Lance Bottoms 63%
Jason Esteves 21%
Geoff Duncan 13.7%
Derrick Jackson <1%
$155,387 Vol.
$155,387 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
63%
Jason Esteves
21%
Geoff Duncan
14%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Mike Thurmond
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms holds a commanding lead in trader consensus at 63% implied probability for the May 19 Democratic primary winner, driven by consistent polling dominance—including a recent Emerson College survey showing her far ahead—and high name recognition among urban voters crucial for primary turnout. State Sen. Jason Esteves has surged to 21% following union endorsements like Teamsters Local 528 and Latino Victory Fund, plus momentum from recent debates critiquing rivals on abortion and costs. Former Lt. Gov. Geoff Duncan, who switched from Republican in 2025, lingers at 14% appealing to moderates but faces attacks over past abortion ban support in a sharp exchange just yesterday. High undecideds near 30% in March 31 20/20 Insights polling signal volatility ahead of early voting next week.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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