Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her consistent double-digit poll advantages—such as 32% in the March 20/20 Insights survey and 35% in Emerson polling—fueled by strong name recognition from her tenure as Atlanta mayor and recent policy proposals like using casino revenue for early childhood education. State Sen. Jason Esteves holds 21.5% after launching the first Democratic TV ad and claiming internal polls place him second, bolstered by progressive endorsements amid attacks on rival Geoff Duncan over his past Republican support for an abortion ban. Former Lt. Gov. Duncan garners 14.8% from crossover moderate appeal following his party switch, highlighted in the April 15 11Alive debate with Bottoms and Michael Thurmond, as early voting nears and no candidate polls near a first-round majority, setting up potential runoff dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoKeisha Lance Bottoms 63%
Jason Esteves 22%
Geoff Duncan 14.8%
Derrick Jackson <1%
$153,338 Vol.
$153,338 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
63%
Jason Esteves
22%
Geoff Duncan
15%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Mike Thurmond
<1%
Keisha Lance Bottoms 63%
Jason Esteves 22%
Geoff Duncan 14.8%
Derrick Jackson <1%
$153,338 Vol.
$153,338 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
63%
Jason Esteves
22%
Geoff Duncan
15%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Mike Thurmond
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keisha Lance Bottoms leads trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, reflecting her consistent double-digit poll advantages—such as 32% in the March 20/20 Insights survey and 35% in Emerson polling—fueled by strong name recognition from her tenure as Atlanta mayor and recent policy proposals like using casino revenue for early childhood education. State Sen. Jason Esteves holds 21.5% after launching the first Democratic TV ad and claiming internal polls place him second, bolstered by progressive endorsements amid attacks on rival Geoff Duncan over his past Republican support for an abortion ban. Former Lt. Gov. Duncan garners 14.8% from crossover moderate appeal following his party switch, highlighted in the April 15 11Alive debate with Bottoms and Michael Thurmond, as early voting nears and no candidate polls near a first-round majority, setting up potential runoff dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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