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Politica·Primarie

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vicente Ada 73%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 19%

Marcel Camacho 1.9%

Charlie Hermosa 1.1%

Polymarket

$23,507 Vol.

Vicente Ada 73%

Frank F. Blas Jr. 19%

Marcel Camacho 1.9%

Charlie Hermosa 1.1%

Polymarket

$23,507 Vol.

Vicente Ada

$6,726 Vol.

73%

Frank F. Blas Jr.

$6,235 Vol.

19%

Marcel Camacho

$2,300 Vol.

2%

Charlie Hermosa

$0 Vol.

1%

Douglas Moylan

$8,246 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Vicente Ada at 72.5% implied probability to win the Guam Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, 2026, driven by his early campaign launch as the first Republican ticket alongside EJ Calvo, endorsements from two former Republican governors in October 2025, and incumbency as legislative Vice Speaker providing strong name recognition and party support. Frank F. Blas Jr. holds 18.5% as a formidable challenger, bolstered by his Speaker role and recent January 2026 filing with Mary Okada amid vows to end "pay-to-play politics." Minor candidates like Marcel Camacho, Charlie Hermosa—who recently launched an independent bid with Jeff Pleadwell—and Douglas Moylan trail due to lower visibility. With nominating petitions due May 1 and a crowded field of eight gubernatorial packets picked up by February, a Kandit News poll showing undecided plurality underscores uncertainty ahead of the partisan primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,507
Data di fine
1 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus heavily favors Vicente Ada at 72.5% implied probability to win the Guam Republican gubernatorial primary on August 1, 2026, driven by his early campaign launch as the first Republican ticket alongside EJ Calvo, endorsements from two former Republican governors in October 2025, and incumbency as legislative Vice Speaker providing strong name recognition and party support. Frank F. Blas Jr. holds 18.5% as a formidable challenger, bolstered by his Speaker role and recent January 2026 filing with Mary Okada amid vows to end "pay-to-play politics." Minor candidates like Marcel Camacho, Charlie Hermosa—who recently launched an independent bid with Jeff Pleadwell—and Douglas Moylan trail due to lower visibility. With nominating petitions due May 1 and a crowded field of eight gubernatorial packets picked up by February, a Kandit News poll showing undecided plurality underscores uncertainty ahead of the partisan primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,507
Data di fine
1 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Vicente Ada" a 73%, seguito da "Frank F. Blas Jr." a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 73¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $23.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 11, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" è "Vicente Ada" a 73%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 73% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Frank F. Blas Jr." a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Guam Governor Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.