Official Rosgidromet observations from the reference VDNKh weather station in Moscow confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Cloudy conditions with patchy rain and north-easterly winds, as forecasted by the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, limited daytime heating despite earlier model runs suggesting 13–15°C peaks, aligning with historical April averages around 10–12°C. This precise measurement from standardized instruments at the urban baseline site provides definitive resolution data. Realistic challenges would require rare data corrections from quality assurance reviews or station anomalies, though Rosgidromet's protocols minimize such revisions; watch for April 16 updates amid persistent cyclonic influences.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 15 aprile?
10°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
$127,909 Vol.
$127,909 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
No
9°C
No
10°C
Sì
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o superiore
No
10°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
$127,909 Vol.
$127,909 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
No
9°C
No
10°C
Sì
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Rosgidromet observations from the reference VDNKh weather station in Moscow confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 10°C on April 15, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome among traders wagering real capital. Cloudy conditions with patchy rain and north-easterly winds, as forecasted by the Russian Hydrometeorological Center, limited daytime heating despite earlier model runs suggesting 13–15°C peaks, aligning with historical April averages around 10–12°C. This precise measurement from standardized instruments at the urban baseline site provides definitive resolution data. Realistic challenges would require rare data corrections from quality assurance reviews or station anomalies, though Rosgidromet's protocols minimize such revisions; watch for April 16 updates amid persistent cyclonic influences.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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