Latest forecast models from meteorological services project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at around 21°C, driving trader consensus with 21°C (29.5%) edging out 20°C (28.5%) amid tight clustering that reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range predictions. This positioning stems from recent days' highs in the 21-23°C range under stable high-pressure influence, with springtime warming elevating averages from early April's 18-19°C baseline; subtle model divergences arise from anticipated light cloud cover variations, southerly winds enhancing moisture advection, and urban heat island effects amplifying city-center readings by 1-2°C over rural sites. Key differentiators include solar insolation timing and boundary layer mixing, with new ensemble runs expected overnight potentially tipping the balance before observations resolve the market. Historical April highs average 19-22°C, underscoring the razor-thin margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 17 aprile?
21°C 30%
20°C 29%
19°C 15%
22°C 14.5%
$39,760 Vol.
$39,760 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
15%
20°C
29%
21°C
30%
22°C
14%
23°C o superiore
3%
21°C 30%
20°C 29%
19°C 15%
22°C 14.5%
$39,760 Vol.
$39,760 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
15%
20°C
29%
21°C
30%
22°C
14%
23°C o superiore
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from meteorological services project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 at around 21°C, driving trader consensus with 21°C (29.5%) edging out 20°C (28.5%) amid tight clustering that reflects inherent uncertainty in short-range predictions. This positioning stems from recent days' highs in the 21-23°C range under stable high-pressure influence, with springtime warming elevating averages from early April's 18-19°C baseline; subtle model divergences arise from anticipated light cloud cover variations, southerly winds enhancing moisture advection, and urban heat island effects amplifying city-center readings by 1-2°C over rural sites. Key differentiators include solar insolation timing and boundary layer mixing, with new ensemble runs expected overnight potentially tipping the balance before observations resolve the market. Historical April highs average 19-22°C, underscoring the razor-thin margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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