Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$79,640 Vol.
$79,640 Vol.
16 apr 2026
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$79,640 Vol.
$79,640 Vol.
16 apr 2026
31°C
$61,633 Vol.
99%
32°C
$3,248 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,694 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,298 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,457 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,161 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$519 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$79,640Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$79,640Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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