Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C (99.9% implied probability) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, driven by hourly observations at Wellington International Airport (NZWN) station, which peaked at 64°F (17.8°C) repeatedly from late morning through mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and strong northwesterly winds up to 25 mph. These readings, aggregated on Weather Underground—the market's resolution source—align precisely with the 18°C outcome per standard meteorological rounding. MetService's pre-day forecast of 17°C/11°C underestimated the northerly flow's warming effect during peak solar heating. With temperatures now dropping to 13°C past 5 PM NZST and no further heating possible, revision risks are minimal, though an anomalous late-day spike or data correction could theoretically challenge it. Updated observations expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 16 aprile?
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C o superiore <1%
NUOVO
$228,152 Vol.
NUOVO
$228,152 Vol.
16 apr 2026
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C o superiore <1%
NUOVO
$228,152 Vol.
NUOVO
$228,152 Vol.
16 apr 2026
18°C
$45,772 Vol.
100%
19°C
$25,923 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$29,985 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$12,155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C (99.9% implied probability) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, driven by hourly observations at Wellington International Airport (NZWN) station, which peaked at 64°F (17.8°C) repeatedly from late morning through mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and strong northwesterly winds up to 25 mph. These readings, aggregated on Weather Underground—the market's resolution source—align precisely with the 18°C outcome per standard meteorological rounding. MetService's pre-day forecast of 17°C/11°C underestimated the northerly flow's warming effect during peak solar heating. With temperatures now dropping to 13°C past 5 PM NZST and no further heating possible, revision risks are minimal, though an anomalous late-day spike or data correction could theoretically challenge it. Updated observations expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$228,152Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C (99.9% implied probability) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, driven by hourly observations at Wellington International Airport (NZWN) station, which peaked at 64°F (17.8°C) repeatedly from late morning through mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and strong northwesterly winds up to 25 mph. These readings, aggregated on Weather Underground—the market's resolution source—align precisely with the 18°C outcome per standard meteorological rounding. MetService's pre-day forecast of 17°C/11°C underestimated the northerly flow's warming effect during peak solar heating. With temperatures now dropping to 13°C past 5 PM NZST and no further heating possible, revision risks are minimal, though an anomalous late-day spike or data correction could theoretically challenge it. Updated observations expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$228,152Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 18°C (99.9% implied probability) for Wellington's highest temperature on April 16, 2026, driven by hourly observations at Wellington International Airport (NZWN) station, which peaked at 64°F (17.8°C) repeatedly from late morning through mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and strong northwesterly winds up to 25 mph. These readings, aggregated on Weather Underground—the market's resolution source—align precisely with the 18°C outcome per standard meteorological rounding. MetService's pre-day forecast of 17°C/11°C underestimated the northerly flow's warming effect during peak solar heating. With temperatures now dropping to 13°C past 5 PM NZST and no further heating possible, revision risks are minimal, though an anomalous late-day spike or data correction could theoretically challenge it. Updated observations expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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