Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 16, driven by real-time observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—Polymarket's resolution source via Weather Underground—showing midday peaks plateauing at 22–25°C under persistent overcast stratus clouds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models, which cap heating due to limited solar insolation amid spring moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin, where mid-April climatological highs average 23–25°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon cloud breakup for rapid warming to 26°C or higher, though upper-level trough patterns sustain the deck; final daily maximum data expected post-sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 16 aprile?
NUOVO
$72,838 Vol.
NUOVO
$72,838 Vol.
16 apr 2026
25°C
100%
26°C o superiore
<1%
NUOVO
$72,838 Vol.
NUOVO
$72,838 Vol.
16 apr 2026
25°C
$12,085 Vol.
100%
26°C o superiore
$15,102 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 16, driven by real-time observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—Polymarket's resolution source via Weather Underground—showing midday peaks plateauing at 22–25°C under persistent overcast stratus clouds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models, which cap heating due to limited solar insolation amid spring moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin, where mid-April climatological highs average 23–25°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon cloud breakup for rapid warming to 26°C or higher, though upper-level trough patterns sustain the deck; final daily maximum data expected post-sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Volume
$72,838Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 16, driven by real-time observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—Polymarket's resolution source via Weather Underground—showing midday peaks plateauing at 22–25°C under persistent overcast stratus clouds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models, which cap heating due to limited solar insolation amid spring moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin, where mid-April climatological highs average 23–25°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon cloud breakup for rapid warming to 26°C or higher, though upper-level trough patterns sustain the deck; final daily maximum data expected post-sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$72,838Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a near-certain implied probability to a 25°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 16, driven by real-time observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport—Polymarket's resolution source via Weather Underground—showing midday peaks plateauing at 22–25°C under persistent overcast stratus clouds. This aligns with China Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models, which cap heating due to limited solar insolation amid spring moisture advection into the Sichuan Basin, where mid-April climatological highs average 23–25°C. A realistic challenge would require an improbable late-afternoon cloud breakup for rapid warming to 26°C or higher, though upper-level trough patterns sustain the deck; final daily maximum data expected post-sunset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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