Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, driving traders' 99.8% consensus on 28°C as the market-implied maximum at the Taipei Songshan Airport station. Real-time observations have aligned closely with this cap amid southerly winds that recently elevated mid-April temperatures above the 26°C climatological average, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation have suppressed solar heating and convective potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 29°C spike—current trends and model agreement strongly support the 28°C outcome, with final station data expected by midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 16 aprile?
28°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$98,131 Vol.
$98,131 Vol.
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$98,131 Vol.
$98,131 Vol.
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast for April 16 projects Taipei's daytime high at 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, driving traders' 99.8% consensus on 28°C as the market-implied maximum at the Taipei Songshan Airport station. Real-time observations have aligned closely with this cap amid southerly winds that recently elevated mid-April temperatures above the 26°C climatological average, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation have suppressed solar heating and convective potential. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 29°C spike—current trends and model agreement strongly support the 28°C outcome, with final station data expected by midnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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