Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (78.2% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature on April 16 at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution station—driven by current observations and hourly forecasts from Gismeteo and Yandex Weather showing midday peaks of 11-12°C under persistent cloud cover and easterly winds at 14-18 km/h advecting cooler air. Morning fog delayed warming from overnight lows near 8°C, with limited solar insolation capping highs; recent Gismeteo updates confirm +12°C possible but traders bet on 11°C based on conservative model runs like ECMWF analogs via yr.no (max 12-15°C range). April climatology averages 10°C highs, aligning with this cool, overcast pattern; evening observations will finalize as residual uncertainty lingers in cloud breaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 16 aprile?
11°C 73.2%
12°C 18.0%
10°C 11.5%
13°C 1.9%
$73,843 Vol.
$73,843 Vol.
16 apr 2026
9°C
<1%
10°C
12%
11°C
73%
12°C
18%
13°C
2%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
11°C 73.2%
12°C 18.0%
10°C 11.5%
13°C 1.9%
$73,843 Vol.
$73,843 Vol.
16 apr 2026
9°C
$11,558 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$5,960 Vol.
12%
11°C
$5,156 Vol.
73%
12°C
$4,194 Vol.
18%
13°C
$10,291 Vol.
2%
14°C
$8,417 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,212 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,037 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,948 Vol.
<1%
18°C o superiore
$2,559 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (78.2% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature on April 16 at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution station—driven by current observations and hourly forecasts from Gismeteo and Yandex Weather showing midday peaks of 11-12°C under persistent cloud cover and easterly winds at 14-18 km/h advecting cooler air. Morning fog delayed warming from overnight lows near 8°C, with limited solar insolation capping highs; recent Gismeteo updates confirm +12°C possible but traders bet on 11°C based on conservative model runs like ECMWF analogs via yr.no (max 12-15°C range). April climatology averages 10°C highs, aligning with this cool, overcast pattern; evening observations will finalize as residual uncertainty lingers in cloud breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Volume
$73,843Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (78.2% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature on April 16 at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution station—driven by current observations and hourly forecasts from Gismeteo and Yandex Weather showing midday peaks of 11-12°C under persistent cloud cover and easterly winds at 14-18 km/h advecting cooler air. Morning fog delayed warming from overnight lows near 8°C, with limited solar insolation capping highs; recent Gismeteo updates confirm +12°C possible but traders bet on 11°C based on conservative model runs like ECMWF analogs via yr.no (max 12-15°C range). April climatology averages 10°C highs, aligning with this cool, overcast pattern; evening observations will finalize as residual uncertainty lingers in cloud breaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,843Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 11°C (78.2% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature on April 16 at Vnukovo International Airport—the market's NOAA-sourced resolution station—driven by current observations and hourly forecasts from Gismeteo and Yandex Weather showing midday peaks of 11-12°C under persistent cloud cover and easterly winds at 14-18 km/h advecting cooler air. Morning fog delayed warming from overnight lows near 8°C, with limited solar insolation capping highs; recent Gismeteo updates confirm +12°C possible but traders bet on 11°C based on conservative model runs like ECMWF analogs via yr.no (max 12-15°C range). April climatology averages 10°C highs, aligning with this cool, overcast pattern; evening observations will finalize as residual uncertainty lingers in cloud breaks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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