Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching 19°C on April 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances, and cool easterly winds capping daytime heating after yesterday's 18°C high at Pudong International Airport station. Current morning observations around 15–16°C align with this outlook, matching mid-April climatological averages of 19°C where highs rarely exceed 22°C. Trader sentiment reflects this high-confidence model agreement and low forecast dispersion. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing greater solar insolation or a shift to warmer southerly flow, potentially nudging toward 20°C, with hourly station data providing final clarity by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
20°C <1%
$193,874 Vol.
$193,874 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
20°C <1%
$193,874 Vol.
$193,874 Vol.
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models show strong consensus for Shanghai's highest temperature reaching 19°C on April 16, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances, and cool easterly winds capping daytime heating after yesterday's 18°C high at Pudong International Airport station. Current morning observations around 15–16°C align with this outlook, matching mid-April climatological averages of 19°C where highs rarely exceed 22°C. Trader sentiment reflects this high-confidence model agreement and low forecast dispersion. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies allowing greater solar insolation or a shift to warmer southerly flow, potentially nudging toward 20°C, with hourly station data providing final clarity by evening.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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