Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 80-81°F in Miami on April 15, driven by verified observational data from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a peak of 80.1°F around 3 PM EDT. This outcome aligns with comfortable, mostly dry conditions featuring easterly winds and sea breeze influences that suppressed daytime heating below the April climatological normal of 84°F. No subsequent hourly readings exceeded this mark into the evening, solidifying the positioning with minimal liquidity on alternatives. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control processes by NOAA, though final CLI reports confirm the measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 15 aprile?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F o inferiore <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$97,214 Vol.
$97,214 Vol.
69°F o inferiore
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Sì
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
30-31°C
No
88°F o superiore
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F o inferiore <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$97,214 Vol.
$97,214 Vol.
69°F o inferiore
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Sì
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
30-31°C
No
88°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus assigns 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 80-81°F in Miami on April 15, driven by verified observational data from the National Weather Service's Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) at Miami International Airport (KMIA), which recorded a peak of 80.1°F around 3 PM EDT. This outcome aligns with comfortable, mostly dry conditions featuring easterly winds and sea breeze influences that suppressed daytime heating below the April climatological normal of 84°F. No subsequent hourly readings exceeded this mark into the evening, solidifying the positioning with minimal liquidity on alternatives. Scenarios challenging this would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control processes by NOAA, though final CLI reports confirm the measurement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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