Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16 at 11:00 KST, projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 between 16–20°C amid mostly cloudy conditions in the capital region, transitioning to clearer skies overnight, anchoring trader sentiment with 79.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This range reflects moderating influences from a southern rain system affecting nearby areas, following recent warm anomalies including today's forecast peak near 27°C—well above April's climatological average high of 17°C. Ensemble model consensus favors the upper end due to light winds and partial clearing, though cloud cover introduces uncertainty; traders price 17°C at 16.5% as a downside risk. Evening forecast revisions from KMA could shift odds further as resolution nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul il 17 aprile?
18°C o superiore 78%
17°C 16%
16°C 7%
15°C 2.1%
$83,871 Vol.
$83,871 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
16%
18°C o superiore
78%
18°C o superiore 78%
17°C 16%
16°C 7%
15°C 2.1%
$83,871 Vol.
$83,871 Vol.
8°C o inferiore
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
16%
18°C o superiore
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16 at 11:00 KST, projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 between 16–20°C amid mostly cloudy conditions in the capital region, transitioning to clearer skies overnight, anchoring trader sentiment with 79.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher. This range reflects moderating influences from a southern rain system affecting nearby areas, following recent warm anomalies including today's forecast peak near 27°C—well above April's climatological average high of 17°C. Ensemble model consensus favors the upper end due to light winds and partial clearing, though cloud cover introduces uncertainty; traders price 17°C at 16.5% as a downside risk. Evening forecast revisions from KMA could shift odds further as resolution nears.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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