Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the authoritative station for city records. Hourly METAR reports confirmed peak temperatures in this narrow range amid dry conditions, low relative humidity around 12%, west-northwesterly winds gusting to 17 mph, and mostly clear skies with high clouds, preventing greater solar heating despite above-normal potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF anticipating modest warming under high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges, such as rare post-event data audits revealing sensor anomalies or quality-control revisions, are highly improbable given standardized ASOS protocols and preliminary validation. Final NWS climatological report expected soon will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Denver il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Denver il 15 aprile?
68-69°F 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74°F o superiore <1%
$184,168 Vol.
$184,168 Vol.
15 apr 2026
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 100.0%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
74°F o superiore <1%
$184,168 Vol.
$184,168 Vol.
15 apr 2026
68-69°F
$17,584 Vol.
100%
70-71°F
$9,018 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,033 Vol.
<1%
74°F o superiore
$5,282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the authoritative station for city records. Hourly METAR reports confirmed peak temperatures in this narrow range amid dry conditions, low relative humidity around 12%, west-northwesterly winds gusting to 17 mph, and mostly clear skies with high clouds, preventing greater solar heating despite above-normal potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF anticipating modest warming under high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges, such as rare post-event data audits revealing sensor anomalies or quality-control revisions, are highly improbable given standardized ASOS protocols and preliminary validation. Final NWS climatological report expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$184,168Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the authoritative station for city records. Hourly METAR reports confirmed peak temperatures in this narrow range amid dry conditions, low relative humidity around 12%, west-northwesterly winds gusting to 17 mph, and mostly clear skies with high clouds, preventing greater solar heating despite above-normal potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF anticipating modest warming under high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges, such as rare post-event data audits revealing sensor anomalies or quality-control revisions, are highly improbable given standardized ASOS protocols and preliminary validation. Final NWS climatological report expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$184,168Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F at 100% implied probability for Denver's highest temperature on April 15, 2026, driven by official NOAA observations from the automated surface observing system (ASOS) at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the authoritative station for city records. Hourly METAR reports confirmed peak temperatures in this narrow range amid dry conditions, low relative humidity around 12%, west-northwesterly winds gusting to 17 mph, and mostly clear skies with high clouds, preventing greater solar heating despite above-normal potential. This aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF anticipating modest warming under high-pressure ridging. Realistic challenges, such as rare post-event data audits revealing sensor anomalies or quality-control revisions, are highly improbable given standardized ASOS protocols and preliminary validation. Final NWS climatological report expected soon will solidify resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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