National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the official reporting station for such metrics, recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 15 amid persistent cloud cover, intermittent hail, rain, and a waterspout over Puget Sound, confirming the market's 100% implied probability for 48-49°F. NOAA forecast models had anticipated below-normal highs—well under the mid-April climatological average of 57°F—due to an upper-level trough directing cool maritime air onshore, strong low-level winds, and minimal solar insolation from overcast skies. This positioning reflects strong scientific consensus from verified measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or auxiliary stations reporting marginally higher peaks, though KSEA data carries authoritative weight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Seattle il 15 aprile?
48-49°F 100.0%
43°F o inferiore <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$131,296 Vol.
$131,296 Vol.
43°F o inferiore
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Sì
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F o superiore
No
48-49°F 100.0%
43°F o inferiore <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$131,296 Vol.
$131,296 Vol.
43°F o inferiore
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Sì
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), the official reporting station for such metrics, recorded a high temperature of 48°F on April 15 amid persistent cloud cover, intermittent hail, rain, and a waterspout over Puget Sound, confirming the market's 100% implied probability for 48-49°F. NOAA forecast models had anticipated below-normal highs—well under the mid-April climatological average of 57°F—due to an upper-level trough directing cool maritime air onshore, strong low-level winds, and minimal solar insolation from overcast skies. This positioning reflects strong scientific consensus from verified measurements, with realistic challenges limited to rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or auxiliary stations reporting marginally higher peaks, though KSEA data carries authoritative weight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti