MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects a high of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under strengthening northwesterlies bringing warmer maritime air, with fine conditions giving way to afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 18°C at 40.5% implied probability over 19°C at 32.5%, reflecting model agreement on advection of mild autumn air above the April historical average of 16°C, though slight disagreements on shower timing introduce uncertainty—delayed clouds might allow brief 19°C spikes via enhanced insolation. A northwest flow ahead of a Tasman Sea front adds gale potential, but low confidence tempers extremes; watch overnight updates for refined hourly guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 17 aprile?
18°C 40%
19°C 32%
17°C 19%
20°C 4.0%
$44,260 Vol.
$44,260 Vol.
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
19%
18°C
40%
19°C
32%
20°C
4%
21°C o superiore
2%
18°C 40%
19°C 32%
17°C 19%
20°C 4.0%
$44,260 Vol.
$44,260 Vol.
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
19%
18°C
40%
19°C
32%
20°C
4%
21°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects a high of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under strengthening northwesterlies bringing warmer maritime air, with fine conditions giving way to afternoon showers that could cap peak heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 18°C at 40.5% implied probability over 19°C at 32.5%, reflecting model agreement on advection of mild autumn air above the April historical average of 16°C, though slight disagreements on shower timing introduce uncertainty—delayed clouds might allow brief 19°C spikes via enhanced insolation. A northwest flow ahead of a Tasman Sea front adds gale potential, but low confidence tempers extremes; watch overnight updates for refined hourly guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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