Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 15 falling in the 72-73°F range, driven by official National Weather Service daily climatological reports from O'Hare (KORD) and Midway (KMDW) airports, which recorded maximums of 71-72°F around 3 PM CDT—12-13°F above the 59-60°F normals—under a warm southerly airflow with scattered thunderstorms and 0.03-0.11 inches of precipitation. These verified observations from automated surface observing systems provide ironclad evidence, aligning with pre-event model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System showing upper-60s to low-70s peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though NWS data rarely shifts after initial release; final monthly summaries expected soon will confirm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Chicago il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Chicago il 15 aprile?
$226,531 Vol.
$226,531 Vol.
15 apr 2026
72-73°F
100%
74°F o superiore
<1%
$226,531 Vol.
$226,531 Vol.
15 apr 2026
72-73°F
$16,273 Vol.
100%
74°F o superiore
$24,491 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 15 falling in the 72-73°F range, driven by official National Weather Service daily climatological reports from O'Hare (KORD) and Midway (KMDW) airports, which recorded maximums of 71-72°F around 3 PM CDT—12-13°F above the 59-60°F normals—under a warm southerly airflow with scattered thunderstorms and 0.03-0.11 inches of precipitation. These verified observations from automated surface observing systems provide ironclad evidence, aligning with pre-event model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System showing upper-60s to low-70s peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though NWS data rarely shifts after initial release; final monthly summaries expected soon will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$226,531Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 15 falling in the 72-73°F range, driven by official National Weather Service daily climatological reports from O'Hare (KORD) and Midway (KMDW) airports, which recorded maximums of 71-72°F around 3 PM CDT—12-13°F above the 59-60°F normals—under a warm southerly airflow with scattered thunderstorms and 0.03-0.11 inches of precipitation. These verified observations from automated surface observing systems provide ironclad evidence, aligning with pre-event model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System showing upper-60s to low-70s peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though NWS data rarely shifts after initial release; final monthly summaries expected soon will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$226,531Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects 100% implied probability for Chicago's highest temperature on April 15 falling in the 72-73°F range, driven by official National Weather Service daily climatological reports from O'Hare (KORD) and Midway (KMDW) airports, which recorded maximums of 71-72°F around 3 PM CDT—12-13°F above the 59-60°F normals—under a warm southerly airflow with scattered thunderstorms and 0.03-0.11 inches of precipitation. These verified observations from automated surface observing systems provide ironclad evidence, aligning with pre-event model forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System showing upper-60s to low-70s peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though NWS data rarely shifts after initial release; final monthly summaries expected soon will confirm.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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