Official observations from the National Weather Service at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 15, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as traders locked in positions post-verification. This near-record warmth—tying or approaching the April 15 historical high of 87°F set in 1941 at nearby Central Park—stemmed from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, fostering southerly winds and clear skies that boosted midday heating 20-25°F above the mid-April climatological normal of around 62°F. Model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs accurately anticipated this surge in the 24 hours prior. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal, limited to rare post-audit data revisions for sensor anomalies, with final NWS quality control expected imminently.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 15 aprile?
86-87°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$242,328 Vol.
$242,328 Vol.
15 apr 2026
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F o superiore
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$242,328 Vol.
$242,328 Vol.
15 apr 2026
86-87°F
$48,814 Vol.
100%
88-89°F
$41,430 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$26,129 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$17,066 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$5,075 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$6,714 Vol.
<1%
98°F o superiore
$15,513 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 15, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as traders locked in positions post-verification. This near-record warmth—tying or approaching the April 15 historical high of 87°F set in 1941 at nearby Central Park—stemmed from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, fostering southerly winds and clear skies that boosted midday heating 20-25°F above the mid-April climatological normal of around 62°F. Model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs accurately anticipated this surge in the 24 hours prior. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal, limited to rare post-audit data revisions for sensor anomalies, with final NWS quality control expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$242,328Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 15, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as traders locked in positions post-verification. This near-record warmth—tying or approaching the April 15 historical high of 87°F set in 1941 at nearby Central Park—stemmed from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, fostering southerly winds and clear skies that boosted midday heating 20-25°F above the mid-April climatological normal of around 62°F. Model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs accurately anticipated this surge in the 24 hours prior. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal, limited to rare post-audit data revisions for sensor anomalies, with final NWS quality control expected imminently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$242,328Data di fine
15 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Official observations from the National Weather Service at LaGuardia Airport (KLGA), the market's resolution station, recorded a maximum temperature of 86°F on April 15, 2026, driving the 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as traders locked in positions post-verification. This near-record warmth—tying or approaching the April 15 historical high of 87°F set in 1941 at nearby Central Park—stemmed from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, fostering southerly winds and clear skies that boosted midday heating 20-25°F above the mid-April climatological normal of around 62°F. Model consensus from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre runs accurately anticipated this surge in the 24 hours prior. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal, limited to rare post-audit data revisions for sensor anomalies, with final NWS quality control expected imminently.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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