Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, anchoring trader sentiment with 27°C at 33.5% implied probability edging out 26°C at 28%. Recent frontal systems over the past week delivered persistent rain and cloud cover, capping highs at 17-23°C well below mid-April climatological averages of 22-24°C, but post-frontal ridging and southerly winds now favor rebound warming under partly sunny skies. Divergent guidance on early showers and overcast persistence differentiates the tight 26-28°C cluster, with AccuWeather eyeing 29°C if clears fully; final 12z model runs today and hourly observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 30%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
16%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models have converged on a daytime high near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 17, anchoring trader sentiment with 27°C at 33.5% implied probability edging out 26°C at 28%. Recent frontal systems over the past week delivered persistent rain and cloud cover, capping highs at 17-23°C well below mid-April climatological averages of 22-24°C, but post-frontal ridging and southerly winds now favor rebound warming under partly sunny skies. Divergent guidance on early showers and overcast persistence differentiates the tight 26-28°C cluster, with AccuWeather eyeing 29°C if clears fully; final 12z model runs today and hourly observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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