Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (36.5%) and 18°C (30.5%) as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models converging on a daytime high near 18°C amid mostly cloudy conditions and possible scattered showers. Yesterday's sunny skies pushed April 16 highs to around 21°C, but incoming frontal systems introduce cloud cover variability that could limit solar insolation and cap peaks at 18°C, while partial clearing might nudge it to 19°C. Mid-April climatology supports averages near 19°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, heightening uncertainty; traders await JMA's evening update and real-time observations from Tokyo stations for resolution by midnight JST.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 aprile?
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
$25,876 Vol.
$25,876 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
17%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C o superiore
1%
19°C 38%
18°C 31%
17°C 17%
20°C 13%
$25,876 Vol.
$25,876 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
17%
18°C
31%
19°C
38%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (36.5%) and 18°C (30.5%) as Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models converging on a daytime high near 18°C amid mostly cloudy conditions and possible scattered showers. Yesterday's sunny skies pushed April 16 highs to around 21°C, but incoming frontal systems introduce cloud cover variability that could limit solar insolation and cap peaks at 18°C, while partial clearing might nudge it to 19°C. Mid-April climatology supports averages near 19°C with standard deviations of 2–3°C, heightening uncertainty; traders await JMA's evening update and real-time observations from Tokyo stations for resolution by midnight JST.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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