With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato50-54% 94.3%
Oltre il 54% 4.1%
<42% <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,113 Vol.
$570,113 Vol.
12 apr 2026
<42%
<1%
42-46%
<1%
46-50%
<1%
50-54%
94%
Oltre il 54%
4%
50-54% 94.3%
Oltre il 54% 4.1%
<42% <1%
42-46% <1%
$570,113 Vol.
$570,113 Vol.
12 apr 2026
<42%
$34,353 Vol.
<1%
42-46%
$21,294 Vol.
<1%
46-50%
$28,769 Vol.
<1%
50-54%
$85,147 Vol.
94%
Oltre il 54%
$400,548 Vol.
4%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Mercato aperto: Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Volume
$570,113Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Volume
$570,113Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With over 98% of precincts reporting from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, the National Election Office shows Péter Magyar's Tisza party securing 52.10% of the party list vote—precisely in the 50-54% range commanding 94.4% trader consensus—while Fidesz trails at 39.56% amid record 79.56% turnout that propelled the opposition to a two-thirds supermajority. Pre-election polls from early April, including AtlasIntel at 52.1% and Medián at 55.5%, accurately forecasted this outcome, reflecting widespread discontent with Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule after his concession speech. President Tamás Sulyok's April 15 consultations signal swift government formation, though minor far-right challenges to results or final overseas tallies represent slim scenarios for shifts exceeding 54% or dropping below 50%.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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