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Elezioni·Magyar

Elezioni in Ungheria: TISZA % dei voti popolari

Market icon
Elezioni·Magyar

Elezioni in Ungheria: TISZA % dei voti popolari

50-54% 95.2%

Oltre il 54% 3.8%

<42% <1%

42-46% <1%

Polymarket

$570,365 Vol.

50-54% 95.2%

Oltre il 54% 3.8%

<42% <1%

42-46% <1%

Polymarket

$570,365 Vol.

<42%

$34,353 Vol.

<1%

42-46%

$21,294 Vol.

<1%

46-50%

$28,769 Vol.

<1%

50-54%

$85,209 Vol.

95%

Oltre il 54%

$400,740 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of party list votes counted from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party holds a steady 53.6% share, anchoring trader consensus at 95.1% odds for the 50-54% band after consistent pre-election polling leads widened to double digits in the final weeks amid record 78% turnout. Fidesz trailed at around 40%, prompting Viktor Orbán's concession and Tisza's projected supermajority of 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed-member proportional system. Remaining mail-in and overseas ballots, due by week's end per the National Election Office, represent under 2% and could trim the margin slightly if rural or pro-Fidesz heavy, though stability limits upset risk.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.

This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.

If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Volume
$570,365
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.With over 98% of party list votes counted from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, Péter Magyar's center-right Tisza party holds a steady 53.6% share, anchoring trader consensus at 95.1% odds for the 50-54% band after consistent pre-election polling leads widened to double digits in the final weeks amid record 78% turnout. Fidesz trailed at around 40%, prompting Viktor Orbán's concession and Tisza's projected supermajority of 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly under the mixed-member proportional system. Remaining mail-in and overseas ballots, due by week's end per the National Election Office, represent under 2% and could trim the margin slightly if rural or pro-Fidesz heavy, though stability limits upset risk.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election.

This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.

If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Volume
$570,365
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 16, 2026, 2:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list. This market will resolve according to the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA in this election. This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered. If the percentage of all valid national party list votes won by TISZA falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.

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"Elezioni in Ungheria: TISZA % dei voti popolari" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "50-54%" a 95%, seguito da "Oltre il 54%" a 4%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Elezioni in Ungheria: TISZA % dei voti popolari" ha generato $570.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 16, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni in Ungheria: TISZA % dei voti popolari", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni in Ungheria: TISZA % dei voti popolari" è "50-54%" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Oltre il 54%" a 4%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni in Ungheria: TISZA % dei voti popolari" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.