Péter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, capturing over 52% of the popular vote against Fidesz–KDNP's approximately 39%, as confirmed by near-final tallies and Viktor Orbán's public concession, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as popular vote winner amid record turnout. This outcome ends Orbán's 16-year rule, with Tisza projected to claim a two-thirds supermajority in the National Assembly, enabling constitutional amendments. While diaspora votes—where Fidesz leads—remain partially uncounted, the domestic margin exceeds 13 points, rendering upsets improbable barring extraordinary legal challenges, recounts, or fraud allegations during official certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTisza 99.4%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,697 Vol.
$1,816,697 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
<1%
Tisza
99%
Altro
<1%
Tisza 99.4%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,697 Vol.
$1,816,697 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$698,219 Vol.
<1%
Tisza
$798,438 Vol.
99%
Altro
$320,040 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, capturing over 52% of the popular vote against Fidesz–KDNP's approximately 39%, as confirmed by near-final tallies and Viktor Orbán's public concession, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as popular vote winner amid record turnout. This outcome ends Orbán's 16-year rule, with Tisza projected to claim a two-thirds supermajority in the National Assembly, enabling constitutional amendments. While diaspora votes—where Fidesz leads—remain partially uncounted, the domestic margin exceeds 13 points, rendering upsets improbable barring extraordinary legal challenges, recounts, or fraud allegations during official certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Mercato aperto: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,816,697Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, capturing over 52% of the popular vote against Fidesz–KDNP's approximately 39%, as confirmed by near-final tallies and Viktor Orbán's public concession, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as popular vote winner amid record turnout. This outcome ends Orbán's 16-year rule, with Tisza projected to claim a two-thirds supermajority in the National Assembly, enabling constitutional amendments. While diaspora votes—where Fidesz leads—remain partially uncounted, the domestic margin exceeds 13 points, rendering upsets improbable barring extraordinary legal challenges, recounts, or fraud allegations during official certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$1,816,697Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza Party secured a landslide victory in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, capturing over 52% of the popular vote against Fidesz–KDNP's approximately 39%, as confirmed by near-final tallies and Viktor Orbán's public concession, driving trader consensus to 99.4% on Tisza as popular vote winner amid record turnout. This outcome ends Orbán's 16-year rule, with Tisza projected to claim a two-thirds supermajority in the National Assembly, enabling constitutional amendments. While diaspora votes—where Fidesz leads—remain partially uncounted, the domestic margin exceeds 13 points, rendering upsets improbable barring extraordinary legal challenges, recounts, or fraud allegations during official certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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