Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory as official tallies with over 98% of ballots counted confirm a lead exceeding 13 percentage points nationwide—approximately 52% for Tisza versus 39% for Fidesz–KDNP—despite Fidesz dominance among diaspora voters. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat on election night, ending his 16-year rule amid voter backlash over economic stagnation, corruption scandals, and policy fatigue, amplified by Magyar's dynamic campaign and unified opposition momentum. With a projected supermajority in the National Assembly, final certification by the National Election Office remains the last step; only substantiated irregularities or recounts in close districts could theoretically challenge this, though the margin erects high barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTisza 99.6%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,569 Vol.
$1,816,569 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
<1%
Tisza
100%
Altro
<1%
Tisza 99.6%
Fidesz–KDNP <1%
Altro <1%
$1,816,569 Vol.
$1,816,569 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Fidesz–KDNP
$698,205 Vol.
<1%
Tisza
$798,334 Vol.
100%
Altro
$320,040 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory as official tallies with over 98% of ballots counted confirm a lead exceeding 13 percentage points nationwide—approximately 52% for Tisza versus 39% for Fidesz–KDNP—despite Fidesz dominance among diaspora voters. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat on election night, ending his 16-year rule amid voter backlash over economic stagnation, corruption scandals, and policy fatigue, amplified by Magyar's dynamic campaign and unified opposition momentum. With a projected supermajority in the National Assembly, final certification by the National Election Office remains the last step; only substantiated irregularities or recounts in close districts could theoretically challenge this, though the margin erects high barriers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Mercato aperto: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,816,569Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory as official tallies with over 98% of ballots counted confirm a lead exceeding 13 percentage points nationwide—approximately 52% for Tisza versus 39% for Fidesz–KDNP—despite Fidesz dominance among diaspora voters. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat on election night, ending his 16-year rule amid voter backlash over economic stagnation, corruption scandals, and policy fatigue, amplified by Magyar's dynamic campaign and unified opposition momentum. With a projected supermajority in the National Assembly, final certification by the National Election Office remains the last step; only substantiated irregularities or recounts in close districts could theoretically challenge this, though the margin erects high barriers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
Volume
$1,816,569Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Péter Magyar's Tisza party clinched the popular vote in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on its victory as official tallies with over 98% of ballots counted confirm a lead exceeding 13 percentage points nationwide—approximately 52% for Tisza versus 39% for Fidesz–KDNP—despite Fidesz dominance among diaspora voters. Viktor Orbán conceded defeat on election night, ending his 16-year rule amid voter backlash over economic stagnation, corruption scandals, and policy fatigue, amplified by Magyar's dynamic campaign and unified opposition momentum. With a projected supermajority in the National Assembly, final certification by the National Election Office remains the last step; only substantiated irregularities or recounts in close districts could theoretically challenge this, though the margin erects high barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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