SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a detailed banker briefing on April 6 outlining an early June roadshow, has solidified trader consensus around a June initial public offering, pricing the outcome at a market-implied 64.5% probability. This positioning reflects the typical 8-12 week timeline from filing through SEC review iterations, late-May prospectus release, and post-roadshow pricing, with lead underwriters Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley coordinating a potential $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. July trails at 19.1% amid possible review delays or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" odds at 6.5% have compressed sharply on these milestones; traders eye the June 8 roadshow week as the pivotal catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGiugno 65%
Luglio 19.1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 6.5%
Agosto 4.1%
$231,274 Vol.
$231,274 Vol.
Aprile
1%
Maggio
3%
Giugno
65%
Luglio
19%
Agosto
4%
Settembre
3%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
1%
Dicembre
1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
6%
Giugno 65%
Luglio 19.1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027 6.5%
Agosto 4.1%
$231,274 Vol.
$231,274 Vol.
Aprile
1%
Maggio
3%
Giugno
65%
Luglio
19%
Agosto
4%
Settembre
3%
Ottobre
1%
Novembre
1%
Dicembre
1%
Nessuna IPO prima del 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a detailed banker briefing on April 6 outlining an early June roadshow, has solidified trader consensus around a June initial public offering, pricing the outcome at a market-implied 64.5% probability. This positioning reflects the typical 8-12 week timeline from filing through SEC review iterations, late-May prospectus release, and post-roadshow pricing, with lead underwriters Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley coordinating a potential $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation. July trails at 19.1% amid possible review delays or market volatility, while "No IPO before 2027" odds at 6.5% have compressed sharply on these milestones; traders eye the June 8 roadshow week as the pivotal catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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