Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest first-day pop for Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap, with 49% implied probability for 13.5B+ reflecting the April 15 pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range—implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion based on outstanding shares. This positioning stems from robust roadshow demand, including $525 million in cornerstone commitments, fueled by the company's $3.34 billion 2025 revenue, $124 million net income, and exposure to booming data center cooling (half of sales from replacements/upgrades amid AI infrastructure buildout). Lower buckets like 13.0B–13.5B (29%) and 12.5B–13.0B (23%) account for potential volatility, with trading debut on NYSE April 16 and expected close April 17 as the key catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMadison Air IPO Closing Market Cap
Madison Air IPO Closing Market Cap
13.5B+ 49%
13.0B–13.5B 28.6%
12.5B–13.0B 23%
12.0B–12.5B 1.5%
$14,201 Vol.
$14,201 Vol.
16 apr 2026
<12.0B
<1%
12.0B–12.5B
2%
12.5B–13.0B
23%
13.0B–13.5B
29%
13.5B+
49%
No IPO before June 2026
<1%
13.5B+ 49%
13.0B–13.5B 28.6%
12.5B–13.0B 23%
12.0B–12.5B 1.5%
$14,201 Vol.
$14,201 Vol.
16 apr 2026
<12.0B
$1,514 Vol.
<1%
12.0B–12.5B
$988 Vol.
2%
12.5B–13.0B
$1,039 Vol.
23%
13.0B–13.5B
$2,897 Vol.
29%
13.5B+
$4,811 Vol.
49%
No IPO before June 2026
$2,951 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest first-day pop for Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap, with 49% implied probability for 13.5B+ reflecting the April 15 pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range—implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion based on outstanding shares. This positioning stems from robust roadshow demand, including $525 million in cornerstone commitments, fueled by the company's $3.34 billion 2025 revenue, $124 million net income, and exposure to booming data center cooling (half of sales from replacements/upgrades amid AI infrastructure buildout). Lower buckets like 13.0B–13.5B (29%) and 12.5B–13.0B (23%) account for potential volatility, with trading debut on NYSE April 16 and expected close April 17 as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volume
$14,201Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest first-day pop for Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap, with 49% implied probability for 13.5B+ reflecting the April 15 pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range—implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion based on outstanding shares. This positioning stems from robust roadshow demand, including $525 million in cornerstone commitments, fueled by the company's $3.34 billion 2025 revenue, $124 million net income, and exposure to booming data center cooling (half of sales from replacements/upgrades amid AI infrastructure buildout). Lower buckets like 13.0B–13.5B (29%) and 12.5B–13.0B (23%) account for potential volatility, with trading debut on NYSE April 16 and expected close April 17 as the key catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Madison Air’s market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$14,201Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest first-day pop for Madison Air Solutions' (MAIR) IPO closing market cap, with 49% implied probability for 13.5B+ reflecting the April 15 pricing at the $27 high end of the $25–$27 range—implying a fully diluted valuation near $13.2 billion based on outstanding shares. This positioning stems from robust roadshow demand, including $525 million in cornerstone commitments, fueled by the company's $3.34 billion 2025 revenue, $124 million net income, and exposure to booming data center cooling (half of sales from replacements/upgrades amid AI infrastructure buildout). Lower buckets like 13.0B–13.5B (29%) and 12.5B–13.0B (23%) account for potential volatility, with trading debut on NYSE April 16 and expected close April 17 as the key catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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