Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae commands trader consensus at 94% implied probability to win Incheon's June 3 mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads—such as a recent Segye Ilbo-Gallup survey showing him at 49% against incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok's 33%—amid a national Democratic surge reflected in opposition gains across battleground regions like Daegu. Park's profile as a three-term lawmaker and key impeachment figure bolsters his momentum, while Yoo faces headwinds from ongoing election law violation charges and a trial delay request. This pricing embodies skin-in-the-game bets on Democratic turnout and anti-incumbent sentiment, though a Yoo acquittal, Park scandal, or PPP rebound via policy wins could narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Incheon
Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Incheon
Park Chan-dae 94%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.6%
Kim Kyo-heung <1%
Chung Il-young <1%
$2,475,451 Vol.
$2,475,451 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
94%

Yoo Jeong-bok
5%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
Park Chan-dae 94%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.6%
Kim Kyo-heung <1%
Chung Il-young <1%
$2,475,451 Vol.
$2,475,451 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
94%

Yoo Jeong-bok
5%

Kim Kyo-heung
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party candidate Park Chan-dae commands trader consensus at 94% implied probability to win Incheon's June 3 mayoral election, driven by consistent polling leads—such as a recent Segye Ilbo-Gallup survey showing him at 49% against incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok's 33%—amid a national Democratic surge reflected in opposition gains across battleground regions like Daegu. Park's profile as a three-term lawmaker and key impeachment figure bolsters his momentum, while Yoo faces headwinds from ongoing election law violation charges and a trial delay request. This pricing embodies skin-in-the-game bets on Democratic turnout and anti-incumbent sentiment, though a Yoo acquittal, Park scandal, or PPP rebound via policy wins could narrow the gap before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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