Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Democratic Party of Korea lawmaker Park Chan-dae at 93.5% implied probability to win Incheon's June 3 mayoral election, reflecting his single nomination in early March without a contested primary and consistent double-digit polling leads over incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party—such as 45% to 27% and 54% head-to-heads in late February to early March surveys—amid the DP's national momentum projecting sweeps in nine of ten metropolitan races under President Lee Jae-myung's administration. Recent unity pledges by DP capital-region candidates on April 12 further solidified cohesion with 50 days remaining. Barring scandals, voter turnout surges for the opposition, or late-breaking endorsements for Yoo, this commanding position appears resilient.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Incheon
Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Incheon
Park Chan-dae 94%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.7%
Kim Kyo-heung 1.1%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
$2,474,417 Vol.
$2,474,417 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
94%

Yoo Jeong-bok
5%

Kim Kyo-heung
1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
Park Chan-dae 94%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.7%
Kim Kyo-heung 1.1%
Lee Hak-jae <1%
$2,474,417 Vol.
$2,474,417 Vol.

Park Chan-dae
94%

Yoo Jeong-bok
5%

Kim Kyo-heung
1%

Lee Hak-jae
<1%

Bae June-young
<1%

Chung Il-young
<1%

Yoon Sang-hyun
<1%

Park Nam-choon
<1%

Yoo Dong-soo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Mercato aperto: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Democratic Party of Korea lawmaker Park Chan-dae at 93.5% implied probability to win Incheon's June 3 mayoral election, reflecting his single nomination in early March without a contested primary and consistent double-digit polling leads over incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party—such as 45% to 27% and 54% head-to-heads in late February to early March surveys—amid the DP's national momentum projecting sweeps in nine of ten metropolitan races under President Lee Jae-myung's administration. Recent unity pledges by DP capital-region candidates on April 12 further solidified cohesion with 50 days remaining. Barring scandals, voter turnout surges for the opposition, or late-breaking endorsements for Yoo, this commanding position appears resilient.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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