Recent US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without agreement, primarily over uranium enrichment, as the US demanded a 20-year suspension while Iran proposed a five-year pause amid a fragile two-week truce following intense conflict. Trader consensus at 58.5% for Iran agreeing to end enrichment by June 30 reflects optimism from Iran's "new and modified" proposal submitted April 9, ongoing Pakistani mediation efforts in Tehran, and economic pressures from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports, which Trump has hinted could lift upon nuclear concessions. IAEA calls for strict verification add scrutiny, though sticking points persist in sanctions relief and Iran's insistence on civilian enrichment rights.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
L'Iran accetta di porre fine all'arricchimento dell'uranio entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$437,050 Vol.
$437,050 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$437,050 Vol.
$437,050 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without agreement, primarily over uranium enrichment, as the US demanded a 20-year suspension while Iran proposed a five-year pause amid a fragile two-week truce following intense conflict. Trader consensus at 58.5% for Iran agreeing to end enrichment by June 30 reflects optimism from Iran's "new and modified" proposal submitted April 9, ongoing Pakistani mediation efforts in Tehran, and economic pressures from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports, which Trump has hinted could lift upon nuclear concessions. IAEA calls for strict verification add scrutiny, though sticking points persist in sanctions relief and Iran's insistence on civilian enrichment rights.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volume
$437,050Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without agreement, primarily over uranium enrichment, as the US demanded a 20-year suspension while Iran proposed a five-year pause amid a fragile two-week truce following intense conflict. Trader consensus at 58.5% for Iran agreeing to end enrichment by June 30 reflects optimism from Iran's "new and modified" proposal submitted April 9, ongoing Pakistani mediation efforts in Tehran, and economic pressures from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports, which Trump has hinted could lift upon nuclear concessions. IAEA calls for strict verification add scrutiny, though sticking points persist in sanctions relief and Iran's insistence on civilian enrichment rights.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$437,050Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran ceasefire talks in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 without agreement, primarily over uranium enrichment, as the US demanded a 20-year suspension while Iran proposed a five-year pause amid a fragile two-week truce following intense conflict. Trader consensus at 58.5% for Iran agreeing to end enrichment by June 30 reflects optimism from Iran's "new and modified" proposal submitted April 9, ongoing Pakistani mediation efforts in Tehran, and economic pressures from the US naval blockade of Iranian ports, which Trump has hinted could lift upon nuclear concessions. IAEA calls for strict verification add scrutiny, though sticking points persist in sanctions relief and Iran's insistence on civilian enrichment rights.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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