Current forecast models from agencies monitoring the Sichuan basin indicate a minimum temperature of 18°C in Chengdu on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed daytime highs near 22°C and typical early-September climatology for the region, where basin topography moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 18°C reflects this model agreement and real-time station data showing overnight lows holding near 16–18°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow enabling greater heat loss, potentially dropping readings to 16°C or below at official measurement sites before midnight resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 10 settembre?
18°C 85%
14°C o inferiore 51%
17°C 3%
16°C 2%
$1,176 Vol.
$1,176 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
51%
15°C
-
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
85%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 85%
14°C o inferiore 51%
17°C 3%
16°C 2%
$1,176 Vol.
$1,176 Vol.
10 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$35 Vol.
51%
15°C
$17 Vol.
-
16°C
$87 Vol.
2%
17°C
$129 Vol.
3%
18°C
$133 Vol.
85%
19°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$156 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$85 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies monitoring the Sichuan basin indicate a minimum temperature of 18°C in Chengdu on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed daytime highs near 22°C and typical early-September climatology for the region, where basin topography moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 18°C reflects this model agreement and real-time station data showing overnight lows holding near 16–18°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow enabling greater heat loss, potentially dropping readings to 16°C or below at official measurement sites before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,176Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies monitoring the Sichuan basin indicate a minimum temperature of 18°C in Chengdu on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed daytime highs near 22°C and typical early-September climatology for the region, where basin topography moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 18°C reflects this model agreement and real-time station data showing overnight lows holding near 16–18°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow enabling greater heat loss, potentially dropping readings to 16°C or below at official measurement sites before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,176Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies monitoring the Sichuan basin indicate a minimum temperature of 18°C in Chengdu on September 10, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with observed daytime highs near 22°C and typical early-September climatology for the region, where basin topography moderates extremes. Trader consensus at 97.5% for 18°C reflects this model agreement and real-time station data showing overnight lows holding near 16–18°C. A realistic challenge would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow enabling greater heat loss, potentially dropping readings to 16°C or below at official measurement sites before midnight resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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