Forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting a lowest temperature near 29–31°C for Jeddah on September 11. This aligns with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability, while the tight clustering around 25°C or below (27.5%) and 35°C or higher (28%) reflects uncertainty in exact minimum dew points and urban heat retention. September climatology shows typical coastal lows near 27°C, but recent warmer anomalies and stable high pressure have kept readings elevated. Final adjustments will depend on tonight's updated model guidance and early-morning observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda l'11 settembre?
35°C o superiore 56%
25°C o inferiore 55%
30°C 53%
32°C 39%
25°C o inferiore
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C
20%
29°C
22%
30°C
41%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C o superiore
56%
35°C o superiore 56%
25°C o inferiore 55%
30°C 53%
32°C 39%
25°C o inferiore
55%
26°C
16%
27°C
16%
28°C
20%
29°C
22%
30°C
41%
31°C
21%
32°C
39%
33°C
39%
34°C
39%
35°C o superiore
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds, supporting a lowest temperature near 29–31°C for Jeddah on September 11. This aligns with the market's leading 30°C outcome at 36.5% implied probability, while the tight clustering around 25°C or below (27.5%) and 35°C or higher (28%) reflects uncertainty in exact minimum dew points and urban heat retention. September climatology shows typical coastal lows near 27°C, but recent warmer anomalies and stable high pressure have kept readings elevated. Final adjustments will depend on tonight's updated model guidance and early-morning observations from King Abdulaziz International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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