**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C minimum temperature in Jeddah on September 10, reflecting stable late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows holding near 29–31°C amid high humidity (60–70%), light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the seasonal pattern where Jeddah’s September mean minimum hovers around 27–28°C but has trended 1–2°C warmer this year due to elevated sea-surface temperatures sustaining heat and moisture. Historical station data show similar overnight readings in early September 2026, with no incoming troughs or stronger northerly flows to enhance cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloudiness or a shift to stronger onshore winds that could drop readings toward 28°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Gedda il 10 settembre?
30°C 98%
27°C 4.0%
28°C 3%
24°C o inferiore <1%
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
-
30°C
98%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 98%
27°C 4.0%
28°C 3%
24°C o inferiore <1%
24°C o inferiore
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
-
30°C
98%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C minimum temperature in Jeddah on September 10, reflecting stable late-summer conditions along the Red Sea coast.** Official forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows holding near 29–31°C amid high humidity (60–70%), light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with the seasonal pattern where Jeddah’s September mean minimum hovers around 27–28°C but has trended 1–2°C warmer this year due to elevated sea-surface temperatures sustaining heat and moisture. Historical station data show similar overnight readings in early September 2026, with no incoming troughs or stronger northerly flows to enhance cooling. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloudiness or a shift to stronger onshore winds that could drop readings toward 28°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti