**Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated around 25–27°C for September 4.** Recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) and an active low-pressure system over eastern India have maintained high humidity (often 85–95%) and overcast skies, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate nighttime lows near 26°C on September 4 amid continued scattered thunderstorms and easterly winds. This aligns with trader emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture typically prevent the sharper drops seen in clearer post-monsoon conditions. Historical September averages for Lucknow show minimums near 25–26°C, with current model consensus showing little deviation due to the ongoing wet pattern. No significant dry-air intrusion or stronger winds are expected in the next 48 hours that would alter this trajectory. Updated IMD briefings and forecast model runs over the coming day will be key for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Lucknow il 4 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 91%
31°C o superiore 91%
24°C 88%
28°C 66%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
91%
22°C
9%
23°C
65%
24°C
88%
25°C
48%
26°C
50%
27°C
48%
28°C
66%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C o superiore
91%
21°C o inferiore 91%
31°C o superiore 91%
24°C 88%
28°C 66%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
91%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
65%
24°C
$0 Vol.
88%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
50%
27°C
$12 Vol.
48%
28°C
$0 Vol.
66%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated around 25–27°C for September 4.** Recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) and an active low-pressure system over eastern India have maintained high humidity (often 85–95%) and overcast skies, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate nighttime lows near 26°C on September 4 amid continued scattered thunderstorms and easterly winds.
This aligns with trader emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture typically prevent the sharper drops seen in clearer post-monsoon conditions. Historical September averages for Lucknow show minimums near 25–26°C, with current model consensus showing little deviation due to the ongoing wet pattern. No significant dry-air intrusion or stronger winds are expected in the next 48 hours that would alter this trajectory. Updated IMD briefings and forecast model runs over the coming day will be key for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated around 25–27°C for September 4.** Recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) and an active low-pressure system over eastern India have maintained high humidity (often 85–95%) and overcast skies, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate nighttime lows near 26°C on September 4 amid continued scattered thunderstorms and easterly winds.
This aligns with trader emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture typically prevent the sharper drops seen in clearer post-monsoon conditions. Historical September averages for Lucknow show minimums near 25–26°C, with current model consensus showing little deviation due to the ongoing wet pattern. No significant dry-air intrusion or stronger winds are expected in the next 48 hours that would alter this trajectory. Updated IMD briefings and forecast model runs over the coming day will be key for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon activity and widespread cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping overnight minimum temperatures in Lucknow elevated around 25–27°C for September 4.** Recent heavy rainfall (over 35 mm in parts of the city on September 1–2) and an active low-pressure system over eastern India have maintained high humidity (often 85–95%) and overcast skies, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and Met Office indicate nighttime lows near 26°C on September 4 amid continued scattered thunderstorms and easterly winds. This aligns with trader emphasis on 26°C and 27°C outcomes, as cloud cover and moisture typically prevent the sharper drops seen in clearer post-monsoon conditions. Historical September averages for Lucknow show minimums near 25–26°C, with current model consensus showing little deviation due to the ongoing wet pattern. No significant dry-air intrusion or stronger winds are expected in the next 48 hours that would alter this trajectory. Updated IMD briefings and forecast model runs over the coming day will be key for any late shifts in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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