Trader consensus in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary, set for June 23, 2026, positions Dan Cox as the frontrunner at 55% implied probability, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee—who secured the nomination with Trump backing—and sustained appeal to the GOP base in a fragmented field of over eight candidates. Challenger Ed Hale trails at 34%, gaining from recent endorsements by state Senators Jack Bailey, J.B. Jennings, and others, alongside Boilermakers union support and his February announcement of running mate Tyrone Keys. Both leaders skipped the March 26 primary debate, projecting confidence, while former Gov. Larry Hogan's January decision against running caps his slim 4% odds. Absent public polls, markets reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of base turnout and momentum ahead of early voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDan Cox 55%
Ed Hale 34.2%
Larry Hogan 4.3%
Christopher Bouchat 3.6%
$541,645 Vol.
$541,645 Vol.
Dan Cox
55%
Ed Hale
34%
Larry Hogan
4%
Christopher Bouchat
4%
Steve Hershey
3%
John Myrick
1%
Kurt Wedekind
1%
Carl Brunner
1%
Dan Cox 55%
Ed Hale 34.2%
Larry Hogan 4.3%
Christopher Bouchat 3.6%
$541,645 Vol.
$541,645 Vol.
Dan Cox
55%
Ed Hale
34%
Larry Hogan
4%
Christopher Bouchat
4%
Steve Hershey
3%
John Myrick
1%
Kurt Wedekind
1%
Carl Brunner
1%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary, set for June 23, 2026, positions Dan Cox as the frontrunner at 55% implied probability, driven by his name recognition as the 2022 nominee—who secured the nomination with Trump backing—and sustained appeal to the GOP base in a fragmented field of over eight candidates. Challenger Ed Hale trails at 34%, gaining from recent endorsements by state Senators Jack Bailey, J.B. Jennings, and others, alongside Boilermakers union support and his February announcement of running mate Tyrone Keys. Both leaders skipped the March 26 primary debate, projecting confidence, while former Gov. Larry Hogan's January decision against running caps his slim 4% odds. Absent public polls, markets reflect skin-in-the-game assessments of base turnout and momentum ahead of early voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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