Lisa Demuth holds trader consensus at 53% implied probability as the frontrunner for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary following her dominant win in the party's early February 2026 precinct caucus straw polls, capturing around 32% in a crowded field ahead of Kendall Qualls and Mike Lindell. This activist preference has shaped market positioning, reflecting her momentum as House Speaker amid strong fundraising alongside Qualls, who sits at 24.5% buoyed by a prior December 2025 straw poll victory. Lindell's 12.5% share stems from his national name recognition despite limited party establishment backing. With no new polls since February and the field narrowing via dropouts, odds await the state endorsing convention and August 11 primary, where endorsement dynamics could shift paths to victory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLisa Demuth 53%
Kendall Qualls 20%
Mike Lindell 13%
Kristin Robbins 1.4%
$318,397 Vol.
$318,397 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
53%
Kendall Qualls
20%
Mike Lindell
13%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Patrick Knight
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
Lisa Demuth 53%
Kendall Qualls 20%
Mike Lindell 13%
Kristin Robbins 1.4%
$318,397 Vol.
$318,397 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
53%
Kendall Qualls
20%
Mike Lindell
13%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Patrick Knight
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lisa Demuth holds trader consensus at 53% implied probability as the frontrunner for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary following her dominant win in the party's early February 2026 precinct caucus straw polls, capturing around 32% in a crowded field ahead of Kendall Qualls and Mike Lindell. This activist preference has shaped market positioning, reflecting her momentum as House Speaker amid strong fundraising alongside Qualls, who sits at 24.5% buoyed by a prior December 2025 straw poll victory. Lindell's 12.5% share stems from his national name recognition despite limited party establishment backing. With no new polls since February and the field narrowing via dropouts, odds await the state endorsing convention and August 11 primary, where endorsement dynamics could shift paths to victory.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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