Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka's commanding 94.5% trader consensus for the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral general election stems from his 12-year record, unmatched name recognition, and a fragmented field of seven low-profile challengers certified in February, none viewed as credible threats by political observers. His April 1 rally at NJPAC, touting accomplishments like neighborhood initiatives, has solidified support ahead of early voting. A March 31 letter from several opponents, including Jhamar Youngblood and Sheila Montague, requested U.S. Department of Justice monitoring over alleged intimidation risks, but lacks substantiation or polling to indicate viability. Upsets remain improbable barring late-breaking scandals, health issues, or anomalous turnout surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni del sindaco di Newark
Elezioni del sindaco di Newark
Ras Baraka 95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.6%
Douglas Davis 1.0%
Nasheedah Singleton <1%
$14,479 Vol.
$14,479 Vol.
Ras Baraka
95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
2%
Douglas Davis
1%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Sheila Montague
1%
Noble Milton
1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
Ras Baraka 95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.6%
Douglas Davis 1.0%
Nasheedah Singleton <1%
$14,479 Vol.
$14,479 Vol.
Ras Baraka
95%
Asha Coates-Hamlet
2%
Douglas Davis
1%
Nasheedah Singleton
1%
Sheila Montague
1%
Noble Milton
1%
Jhamar Youngblood
<1%
Tanisha Garner
<1%
Louis Shockley
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Mercato aperto: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka's commanding 94.5% trader consensus for the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral general election stems from his 12-year record, unmatched name recognition, and a fragmented field of seven low-profile challengers certified in February, none viewed as credible threats by political observers. His April 1 rally at NJPAC, touting accomplishments like neighborhood initiatives, has solidified support ahead of early voting. A March 31 letter from several opponents, including Jhamar Youngblood and Sheila Montague, requested U.S. Department of Justice monitoring over alleged intimidation risks, but lacks substantiation or polling to indicate viability. Upsets remain improbable barring late-breaking scandals, health issues, or anomalous turnout surges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
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