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Newark Mayoral Election

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Elezioni·Elezioni Sindaco

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.5%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Sheila Montague <1%

Polymarket

$13,982 Vol.

Ras Baraka 95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.5%

Douglas Davis 1.0%

Sheila Montague <1%

Polymarket

$13,982 Vol.

Ras Baraka

$3,171 Vol.

95%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$859 Vol.

2%

Douglas Davis

$869 Vol.

1%

Sheila Montague

$1,308 Vol.

1%

Noble Milton

$2,986 Vol.

1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$981 Vol.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$965 Vol.

<1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$963 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$972 Vol.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$909 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election stems from his 12-year tenure, recent April 1 rally at NJPAC touting city progress in education and development, and a fragmented field of eight minor challengers certified in February, none viewed as credible threats by local observers. With no public polls showing competition and historical incumbent advantages in Newark's municipal races, traders reflect strong consensus on his re-election path amid low early voting buzz. Scenarios to shift odds include a major scandal, health issue, or DOJ-monitored election disputes raised by opponents in late March, though such disruptions remain unlikely given Baraka's organizational edge and upcoming April 21 voter registration deadline.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$13,982
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka's commanding 94.5% implied probability in the May 12, 2026, nonpartisan Newark mayoral election stems from his 12-year tenure, recent April 1 rally at NJPAC touting city progress in education and development, and a fragmented field of eight minor challengers certified in February, none viewed as credible threats by local observers. With no public polls showing competition and historical incumbent advantages in Newark's municipal races, traders reflect strong consensus on his re-election path amid low early voting buzz. Scenarios to shift odds include a major scandal, health issue, or DOJ-monitored election disputes raised by opponents in late March, though such disruptions remain unlikely given Baraka's organizational edge and upcoming April 21 voter registration deadline.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$13,982
Data di fine
12 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

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"Newark Mayoral Election" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ras Baraka" a 95%, seguito da "Asha Coates-Hamlet" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Newark Mayoral Election" ha generato $14K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 10, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Newark Mayoral Election", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Newark Mayoral Election" è "Ras Baraka" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Asha Coates-Hamlet" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Newark Mayoral Election" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.