Trader consensus heavily favors former President Rumen Radev at 88.6% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister, driven by consistent polling leads for his Progressive Bulgaria coalition ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary elections—the eighth in five years following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. Recent surveys, including a April 15 poll projecting 32% support and 90 seats for Progressive Bulgaria, underscore his anti-oligarchy appeal amid prolonged instability, positioning his bloc for coalition negotiations in the 240-seat National Assembly. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov trails at 5.4% as interim leader since February, while GERB's Boyko Borissov holds 3.1% amid fragmented opposition; election turnout and post-vote horse-trading could still influence government formation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Primo Ministro della Bulgaria
Prossimo Primo Ministro della Bulgaria
Rumen Radev 88.7%
Andrey Gyurov 5.4%
Boyko Borissov 3.3%
Krum Zarkov 2.4%
$137,166 Vol.
$137,166 Vol.

Rumen Radev
89%

Andrey Gyurov
5%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Krum Zarkov
2%

Dimitar Glavchev
1%

Assen Vassilev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
<1%

Nikolai Denkov
<1%
Rumen Radev 88.7%
Andrey Gyurov 5.4%
Boyko Borissov 3.3%
Krum Zarkov 2.4%
$137,166 Vol.
$137,166 Vol.

Rumen Radev
89%

Andrey Gyurov
5%

Boyko Borissov
3%

Krum Zarkov
2%

Dimitar Glavchev
1%

Assen Vassilev
1%

Kostadin Kostadinov
1%

Delyan Peevski
<1%

Rosen Zhelyazkov
<1%

Nikolai Denkov
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors former President Rumen Radev at 88.6% implied probability to become Bulgaria's next prime minister, driven by consistent polling leads for his Progressive Bulgaria coalition ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary elections—the eighth in five years following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid anti-corruption protests. Recent surveys, including a April 15 poll projecting 32% support and 90 seats for Progressive Bulgaria, underscore his anti-oligarchy appeal amid prolonged instability, positioning his bloc for coalition negotiations in the 240-seat National Assembly. Caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov trails at 5.4% as interim leader since February, while GERB's Boyko Borissov holds 3.1% amid fragmented opposition; election turnout and post-vote horse-trading could still influence government formation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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