Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, with over 99% of precincts reporting, allocated the ruling Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate under the proportional representation system, securing the largest bloc but falling short of a majority amid fragmented opposition including Centro Democrático's 17-20 seats. Subsequent official scrutinies and minor recounts through late March stabilized the tally in the 24-26 range, driving trader consensus to price 96.8% probability here as final certification by the National Electoral Council nears. Realistic challenges include late legal appeals or recount reversals shifting one or two seats, though high convergence in tallies limits such risks ahead of the May 31 presidential vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato24-26 96.8%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
Meno di 18 <1%
$121,594 Vol.
$121,594 Vol.
8 mar 2026
Meno di 18
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
<1%
24-26
97%
27-29
1%
30+
<1%
24-26 96.8%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
Meno di 18 <1%
$121,594 Vol.
$121,594 Vol.
8 mar 2026
Meno di 18
$15,104 Vol.
<1%
18-20
$16,574 Vol.
<1%
21-23
$12,613 Vol.
<1%
24-26
$28,686 Vol.
97%
27-29
$30,529 Vol.
1%
30+
$18,088 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, with over 99% of precincts reporting, allocated the ruling Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate under the proportional representation system, securing the largest bloc but falling short of a majority amid fragmented opposition including Centro Democrático's 17-20 seats. Subsequent official scrutinies and minor recounts through late March stabilized the tally in the 24-26 range, driving trader consensus to price 96.8% probability here as final certification by the National Electoral Council nears. Realistic challenges include late legal appeals or recount reversals shifting one or two seats, though high convergence in tallies limits such risks ahead of the May 31 presidential vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercato aperto: Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Volume
$121,594Data di fine
8 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, with over 99% of precincts reporting, allocated the ruling Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate under the proportional representation system, securing the largest bloc but falling short of a majority amid fragmented opposition including Centro Democrático's 17-20 seats. Subsequent official scrutinies and minor recounts through late March stabilized the tally in the 24-26 range, driving trader consensus to price 96.8% probability here as final certification by the National Electoral Council nears. Realistic challenges include late legal appeals or recount reversals shifting one or two seats, though high convergence in tallies limits such risks ahead of the May 31 presidential vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$121,594Data di fine
8 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, with over 99% of precincts reporting, allocated the ruling Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition 25 seats in the 103-seat Senate under the proportional representation system, securing the largest bloc but falling short of a majority amid fragmented opposition including Centro Democrático's 17-20 seats. Subsequent official scrutinies and minor recounts through late March stabilized the tally in the 24-26 range, driving trader consensus to price 96.8% probability here as final certification by the National Electoral Council nears. Realistic challenges include late legal appeals or recount reversals shifting one or two seats, though high convergence in tallies limits such risks ahead of the May 31 presidential vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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