Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz dominates trader consensus at 90.5% in the OR-02 House race, anchored by the district's strong R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his consistent general election margins exceeding 60% since 2020. Bentz enters the May 19, 2026, Republican primary with $1.3 million cash-on-hand, dwarfing challengers Andrea Carr and Peter Larson, while a fragmented Democratic primary field of six candidates—including Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and Chris Beck—lacks a clear frontrunner or substantial fundraising. Recent forums highlight Democratic efforts to appeal to rural voters on healthcare and bipartisanship, but national forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Upsets could stem from a Bentz scandal, health issue, primary surprise, or midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$1,190 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$2,347 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz dominates trader consensus at 90.5% in the OR-02 House race, anchored by the district's strong R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his consistent general election margins exceeding 60% since 2020. Bentz enters the May 19, 2026, Republican primary with $1.3 million cash-on-hand, dwarfing challengers Andrea Carr and Peter Larson, while a fragmented Democratic primary field of six candidates—including Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and Chris Beck—lacks a clear frontrunner or substantial fundraising. Recent forums highlight Democratic efforts to appeal to rural voters on healthcare and bipartisanship, but national forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Upsets could stem from a Bentz scandal, health issue, primary surprise, or midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$3,538Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz dominates trader consensus at 90.5% in the OR-02 House race, anchored by the district's strong R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his consistent general election margins exceeding 60% since 2020. Bentz enters the May 19, 2026, Republican primary with $1.3 million cash-on-hand, dwarfing challengers Andrea Carr and Peter Larson, while a fragmented Democratic primary field of six candidates—including Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and Chris Beck—lacks a clear frontrunner or substantial fundraising. Recent forums highlight Democratic efforts to appeal to rural voters on healthcare and bipartisanship, but national forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Upsets could stem from a Bentz scandal, health issue, primary surprise, or midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,538Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Cliff Bentz dominates trader consensus at 90.5% in the OR-02 House race, anchored by the district's strong R+14 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his consistent general election margins exceeding 60% since 2020. Bentz enters the May 19, 2026, Republican primary with $1.3 million cash-on-hand, dwarfing challengers Andrea Carr and Peter Larson, while a fragmented Democratic primary field of six candidates—including Dawn Rasmussen, Rebecca Mueller, and Chris Beck—lacks a clear frontrunner or substantial fundraising. Recent forums highlight Democratic efforts to appeal to rural voters on healthcare and bipartisanship, but national forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican. Upsets could stem from a Bentz scandal, health issue, primary surprise, or midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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