Oregon’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the state’s most Republican-leaning seats, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican control since 1981. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged from a crowded primary field to face him in November. The district’s rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate, combined with Bentz’s established fundraising advantage and prior 64 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus on a Republican hold. A national Democratic wave, late-cycle scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOR-02 House Election Winner
OR-02 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$2,363 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$2,784 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the state’s most Republican-leaning seats, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican control since 1981. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged from a crowded primary field to face him in November. The district’s rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate, combined with Bentz’s established fundraising advantage and prior 64 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus on a Republican hold. A national Democratic wave, late-cycle scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$5,147Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the state’s most Republican-leaning seats, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican control since 1981. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged from a crowded primary field to face him in November. The district’s rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate, combined with Bentz’s established fundraising advantage and prior 64 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus on a Republican hold. A national Democratic wave, late-cycle scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$5,147Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 2nd congressional district remains one of the state’s most Republican-leaning seats, with a partisan voting index favoring the GOP by double digits and consistent Republican control since 1981. Incumbent Cliff Bentz secured the Republican nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, while Democrat Chris Beck emerged from a crowded primary field to face him in November. The district’s rural eastern and southern Oregon electorate, combined with Bentz’s established fundraising advantage and prior 64 percent general-election margin, underpins trader consensus on a Republican hold. A national Democratic wave, late-cycle scandal, or significant shift in turnout patterns could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit the scope for such changes before the general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti