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Politica·Primarie

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politica·Primarie

Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner

Christine Drazan 47%

Ed Diehl 32%

Chris Dudley 14%

Danielle Bethell 1.6%

Polymarket

$66,743 Vol.

Christine Drazan 47%

Ed Diehl 32%

Chris Dudley 14%

Danielle Bethell 1.6%

Polymarket

$66,743 Vol.

Christine Drazan

$16,731 Vol.

47%

Ed Diehl

$4,236 Vol.

34%

Chris Dudley

$9,861 Vol.

14%

Danielle Bethell

$5,775 Vol.

2%

Kyle Duyck

$10,218 Vol.

1%

Robert Neuman

$7,014 Vol.

<1%

Chael Sonnen

$10,517 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Kintz

$2,393 Vol.

<1%

Brad T. Peters

$0 Vol.

<1%

David Medina

$0 Vol.

<1%

Patrick Kopke-Hales

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 19, trader consensus favors Christine Drazan at 46.5% implied probability, buoyed by her near-victory as 2022 nominee, substantial fundraising, early campaign infrastructure, and established partisan network, positioning her as the organizational frontrunner against incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek in November. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails closely at 35.5%, propelled by a March Predict Oregon poll showing him dominating informed Republicans (66.4%) after leading a successful 250,000-signature referendum drive against a 2025 transportation tax increase, though his momentum has tempered amid attack ads. Chris Dudley holds third at 13.5%, drawing on his 2010 nominee experience, business credentials, and major donors like Phil Knight. Recent tensions over skipped debates have intensified scrutiny, with a key GOP debate scheduled for April 16 potentially tipping the balance in this closely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$66,743
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Oregon Republican gubernatorial primary set for May 19, trader consensus favors Christine Drazan at 46.5% implied probability, buoyed by her near-victory as 2022 nominee, substantial fundraising, early campaign infrastructure, and established partisan network, positioning her as the organizational frontrunner against incumbent Democrat Tina Kotek in November. State Rep. Ed Diehl trails closely at 35.5%, propelled by a March Predict Oregon poll showing him dominating informed Republicans (66.4%) after leading a successful 250,000-signature referendum drive against a 2025 transportation tax increase, though his momentum has tempered amid attack ads. Chris Dudley holds third at 13.5%, drawing on his 2010 nominee experience, business credentials, and major donors like Phil Knight. Recent tensions over skipped debates have intensified scrutiny, with a key GOP debate scheduled for April 16 potentially tipping the balance in this closely contested field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$66,743
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 4, 2025, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Oregon, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Oregon Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oregon Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Christine Drazan" a 47%, seguito da "Ed Diehl" a 34%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 47¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $66.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" è "Christine Drazan" a 47%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 47% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Ed Diehl" a 34%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Oregon Governor Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.