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PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Market icon

PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Ala Stanford 41.7%

Sharif Street 39%

Chris Rabb 18.9%

Morgan Cephas 2.4%

Polymarket

$21,180 Vol.

Ala Stanford 41.7%

Sharif Street 39%

Chris Rabb 18.9%

Morgan Cephas 2.4%

Polymarket

$21,180 Vol.

Ala Stanford

$2,030 Vol.

42%

Sharif Street

$5,370 Vol.

39%

Chris Rabb

$2,033 Vol.

19%

Morgan Cephas

$1,056 Vol.

2%

David Oxman

$4,014 Vol.

1%

Robin Toldens

$3,282 Vol.

1%

Gabriel Caceres

$3,395 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Philadelphia Mayor Cherelle Parker's endorsement of state Sen. Sharif Street on April 15 has provided a recent boost in the tight PA-03 Democratic primary, where trader consensus prices Street at 41.5% and physician Ala Stanford at 41.1% ahead of the May 19 contest to replace retiring Rep. Dwight Evans in this deep-blue district. Conflicting polls, including a pro-Stanford survey from early April showing her at 28% over Street's 16% and state Rep. Chris Rabb's 23%, underscore the fragmented field narrowed to six candidates after recent dropouts like Morgan Cephas. Street leads fundraising and holds establishment backing from labor unions and the Philadelphia Democratic Party, while Stanford benefits from Evans's support and 314 Action ad spending, and Rabb draws progressives like Justice Democrats. Low-turnout dynamics among Black voters and key Philly wards will likely decide consolidation, with further endorsements or mobilization efforts poised to tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,180
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Philadelphia Mayor Cherelle Parker's endorsement of state Sen. Sharif Street on April 15 has provided a recent boost in the tight PA-03 Democratic primary, where trader consensus prices Street at 41.5% and physician Ala Stanford at 41.1% ahead of the May 19 contest to replace retiring Rep. Dwight Evans in this deep-blue district. Conflicting polls, including a pro-Stanford survey from early April showing her at 28% over Street's 16% and state Rep. Chris Rabb's 23%, underscore the fragmented field narrowed to six candidates after recent dropouts like Morgan Cephas. Street leads fundraising and holds establishment backing from labor unions and the Philadelphia Democratic Party, while Stanford benefits from Evans's support and 314 Action ad spending, and Rabb draws progressives like Justice Democrats. Low-turnout dynamics among Black voters and key Philly wards will likely decide consolidation, with further endorsements or mobilization efforts poised to tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,180
Data di fine
19 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 7 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Ala Stanford" a 42%, seguito da "Sharif Street" a 39%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 42¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" ha generato $21.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche", esplora i 7 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è "Ala Stanford" a 42%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 42% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Sharif Street" a 39%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "PA-03 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.