In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino for second place at 65.8% implied probability, reflecting official ONPE tallies at over 92% counted showing him at around 12% versus Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, with Keiko Fujimori leading first at 17%. Sánchez's late surge stems from strong rural support in regions like Cajamarca, where counting lags urban Lima—López Aliaga's stronghold—prompting fraud allegations from the Renovación Popular candidate urging vote nullification. Exit polls like Ipsos projected Sánchez second, aligning with current trends, though remaining abroad and Lima ballots could narrow the gap before June 7 runoff certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRoberto Sánchez Palomino 65.8%
Rafael López Aliaga 35%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,008,379 Vol.
$3,008,379 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
66%
Rafael López Aliaga
35%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 65.8%
Rafael López Aliaga 35%
Mario Vizcarra <1%
Alfonso López Chau <1%
$3,008,379 Vol.
$3,008,379 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$1,128,526 Vol.
66%
Rafael López Aliaga
$1,144,821 Vol.
35%
Mario Vizcarra
$8,170 Vol.
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
$79,025 Vol.
<1%
José Luna
$4,015 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
$4,420 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Espá
$7,489 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$2,781 Vol.
<1%
Mesías Guevara
$3,791 Vol.
<1%
George Forsyth
$3,359 Vol.
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$2,378 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Nieto
$235,209 Vol.
<1%
César Acuña
$3,987 Vol.
<1%
José Williams
$3,845 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
$187,850 Vol.
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
$111,497 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
$51,602 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$3,316 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
$2,934 Vol.
<1%
Fernando Olivera
$3,589 Vol.
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
$12,619 Vol.
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$4,628 Vol.
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$4,241 Vol.
<1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino for second place at 65.8% implied probability, reflecting official ONPE tallies at over 92% counted showing him at around 12% versus Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, with Keiko Fujimori leading first at 17%. Sánchez's late surge stems from strong rural support in regions like Cajamarca, where counting lags urban Lima—López Aliaga's stronghold—prompting fraud allegations from the Renovación Popular candidate urging vote nullification. Exit polls like Ipsos projected Sánchez second, aligning with current trends, though remaining abroad and Lima ballots could narrow the gap before June 7 runoff certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,008,379Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino for second place at 65.8% implied probability, reflecting official ONPE tallies at over 92% counted showing him at around 12% versus Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, with Keiko Fujimori leading first at 17%. Sánchez's late surge stems from strong rural support in regions like Cajamarca, where counting lags urban Lima—López Aliaga's stronghold—prompting fraud allegations from the Renovación Popular candidate urging vote nullification. Exit polls like Ipsos projected Sánchez second, aligning with current trends, though remaining abroad and Lima ballots could narrow the gap before June 7 runoff certification.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$3,008,379Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, trader consensus favors Roberto Sánchez Palomino for second place at 65.8% implied probability, reflecting official ONPE tallies at over 92% counted showing him at around 12% versus Rafael López Aliaga's 11.9%, with Keiko Fujimori leading first at 17%. Sánchez's late surge stems from strong rural support in regions like Cajamarca, where counting lags urban Lima—López Aliaga's stronghold—prompting fraud allegations from the Renovación Popular candidate urging vote nullification. Exit polls like Ipsos projected Sánchez second, aligning with current trends, though remaining abroad and Lima ballots could narrow the gap before June 7 runoff certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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